Anthony Chan
Anthony Chan
continue continued economic economy grow increases justifying likely quarter report supports thereby view
This report supports Greenspan's rosy economic view that the economy is likely to continue to grow unabated this quarter thereby justifying continued increases in short-term rates.
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He not only was articulate in his views, but justified his views without making financial markets balk. He was impressive, maybe not as impressive as Greenspan, but Greenspan had 18 years to practice.
ahead economic likely pillar provide recovery support view year
This would provide another pillar of support for the view that the economic recovery in the year ahead is likely to be gradual,
although crude drop offer offered opportunity prices relief view
I have to come away with the view that the drop in crude prices offered the opportunity for a relief rally, although it didn't offer that much relief.
bankers canary cave central convinced housing investors market view
Investors have become completely convinced that we need to see the housing canary buckle under a little bit. If the housing market softens, then investors will view that as the canary in the cave that indicates that central bankers will not have to be as aggressive.
fed finish raising rates stimulus until view year
In view of the stimulus already out there, I think the Fed will finish out the year by raising rates until the end.
although change corporate inflation issue likely major overall positive pricing view
The lackluster change validates the Fed's view that inflation is not likely to be a major overall issue in 2004. Although this bodes well for policy, it is not a positive for corporate pricing power.
central certainly debate heat
This will certainly heat up the debate at the central bank,
labor market people shows
This shows the labor market in not overheated. And you can see that in, yes, not a lot of people are getting raises.
economic fear growth guess hear higher inflation insure interest listen lower rates return
When you listen to Greenspan's speech, you hear a fear about the sustainability of economic growth and no inflation pressures. Guess what that spells? Lower interest rates and postponing a return to higher rates, to insure the sustainability of growth.
bad fed hope numbers rays road
When you have a long road to travel, you don't take too many breaks. You just keep on going. We're one or two bad numbers away from reassessment of Fed policy, but we're not there yet. Yes, this number is weak, and yes, it's disappointing, but there are some rays of hope in here.
data gain hard homes looks month percent purchases reported reveal
When one looks at the MBA data that reveal that applications for the purchases of new homes are down 7.5 percent on a year-over-year basis, it is not hard to see that the gain reported this month is not a sustainable trend.
beating beginning bullet collapsing continue dodge eventually happen impact market month negative next rates rising sure
We will eventually see the negative impact of rising rates -- we can't dodge that bullet -- but doesn't usually happen at the beginning of the cycle. I'm not sure we will continue to see the market beating expectations by these margins, but I don't see the market collapsing in the next month or so.
continue creating difference jobs nine six
We will continue on this jobless path, where we're not creating enough jobs to make a real difference to the economy, for at least another six to nine months.