Anthony Chan
Anthony Chan
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When the economy is creating 200,000 new jobs a month, we can tolerate $65 to $70 a barrel oil. It masks the impact on consumer confidence.
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When the economy is booming and you want to hire new workers, you have to attract them with money. Today, all you have to offer is a job.
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When the economy hits rough spots, gridlock is not good.
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Unfortunately, I don't think it's a job for Alan Greenspan.
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Exports increased by such a small amount, it's not enough to tell me the inventory problem is going to go away. We need world economic growth to start picking up.
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What the Fed showed was that extraordinary circumstances require an extraordinary strategy. Not only are they moving rates to lows not seen since the early '60s, they're prepared to move them a lot lower.
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We will see more bad news on the employment front. We see unemployment going to 6.1 percent or 6.2 percent before it's over; no way are we going to see that coming down while we're creating so few jobs.
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There is a lot of pain, and if anything these statistics are understating the pain, ... At the same time the economy is showing some potential signs of improvement, you're not finding a lot of firms offering jobs.
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The orders component should jump out and catch your eye. We're still in expansion mode, and recovery is in no jeopardy of derailing, but it's not racing away from us.
catch component expansion jeopardy jump orders racing recovery
The orders component should jump out and catch your eye, ... We're still in expansion mode, and recovery is in no jeopardy of derailing, but it's not racing away from us.
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The recovery of 2002 looks poised to mirror the recovery of a decade ago, with a moderate economic and earnings recovery following a short and shallow recession.
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The recovery is proceeding, but gradually, and that's actually healthy. It's the kind of recovery central bankers dream of -- gradual, not explosive, and therefore long-lasting and sustainable.
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With a fall in the yearly rise in average hourly earnings, both investors and policy-makers can avoid pushing the panic button for a little while longer. In other words, while a (May interest rate hike) remains all but assured, this report did little to nail further tightening beyond this stage.
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We can't lose sight of the fact that energy restricts growth. It is doing so.