Anthony Chan
Anthony Chan
against argument betting buying cars clearly consumer consumers figures prove retail sales tears
The retail sales figures clearly prove that betting against the consumer is a sucker's bet. Not surprisingly, the ex-auto figure on retail sales tears down the argument that consumers are only buying cars and houses.
balance discourage economy fed numbers retail risk sales telling thinking toward
These numbers are essentially telling us that retail sales were artificially boosted by zero-percent financing. These numbers are not going to do anything to discourage the Fed from thinking that the balance of risk in the economy is toward weakness.
certainly continue executing fed gives green growth industrial license light monetary prevent retail signs slow takes total whatever
This gives the Fed license to continue executing monetary policy. If they see any signs of slow growth in employment, industrial production, or retail sales, they certainly have the green light to make another cut. They have total flexibility to do whatever it takes to prevent a recession.
confidence number pressure retail saw takes terrible
This confidence is encouraging and takes some of the pressure off the terrible number we saw with retail sales.
dominating gain generally headline housing industrial influenced knows namely number reports retail sales starts variable volatile wide
The outsized gain in housing starts was influenced by the same variable dominating most of the other headline stats like the retail sales and industrial production, namely weather. Everyone knows that housing starts is a volatile number that generally reports wide swings.
belief bunker events mentality result retail sales terrible wake weakness
It confirms the belief that the weakness in retail sales was the result of a bunker mentality in the wake of the terrible events of Sept. 11.
chain discount factor happening issue retail store
I think a seasonal factor is part of the issue here, but you can't discount it all. Look at what is happening with chain store sales. They've been pretty weak. Some of it (weak retail employment) is real.
federal pressures react reserve starting
Inflationary pressures are starting to percolate --and the Federal Reserve is going to react to this.
cannot capital carry consumers economy far hope knows provides recovery report spending
Everyone knows that consumers cannot carry the economy indefinitely on their own, and this report provides some hope that the long-awaited capital spending recovery may not be too far off.
fever market present sign year
The bidding fever that was present a year or so ago has all but disappeared, and that's another sign that this market is slowing.
average best data distorting hurricane jobs month numbers quite wider
The best way to read the numbers is going to be to average the two months' data because the hurricanes are distorting the wider picture, ... But excluding the hurricane effects, we're doing 190,000 to 200,000 new jobs a month and that's quite healthy.
alan best bit certainly continue describe financial great greenspan inflation markets prove realize report worried worries
The best way to describe this report is 'holy cow,' ... This is a great report. We have Alan Greenspan a little bit worried about inflation and certainly the financial markets will realize that those worries certainly continue to prove to be unfounded.
average becoming earnings fed figures price start tells truly vigilant
The average hourly earnings figures were truly the spoiler of this report, ... It tells us that the Fed may now have to start becoming more vigilant about upcoming price pressures.
appetite auction foreign itself positive remain securities
The auction also showed that foreign appetite for our securities remain voracious, which in itself is another positive sign.