Anthony Chan
Anthony Chan
home maybe might months mortgage people preparing rates realize remember six starting
Rates might be low, but people are starting to realize that rates will go up. Remember you've got to get a mortgage down the line, maybe six months out when the home is complete. People are preparing for it.
catching dollar lowering prognosis relatively remain remains starts strong suspicion
My suspicion is that the dollar will remain relatively strong because, even if the ECB starts lowering rates, they've got a lot of catching up to do, ... The prognosis for the dollar remains cautiously optimistic.
cuts fed financial likely markets quickly raising rate rates start
More rate cuts may not be forthcoming, but the Fed is also not likely to start raising rates as quickly as financial markets expect.
bit housing mortgage precisely rates start turn
Mortgage rates will put a little bit of a brake on housing activity, ... but it may come precisely as other sectors start to turn around.
certainly consistent economy economy-and-economics numbers picking report start trying volatile weak
This report is certainly consistent with an economy that is trying to make a recovery, but a weak recovery. When you start to back out the volatile components, it's not all that weak. We're picking it up, but these numbers tell us the economy will come back slowly.
clear crystal low mortgage purchase sales starting supporting taken
We see the slowdown crystal clear in the MBA purchase index, and it's starting to show up in monthly sales data. The one thing that was supporting the market, low mortgage rates, is being taken away.
economic exports growth increased inventory picking problem small start
Exports increased by such a small amount, it's not enough to tell me the inventory problem is going to go away. We need world economic growth to start picking up.
appearing bank central economic gates lowering people rates recovery somewhat start trying
Now, with the economic recovery appearing to be somewhat in place and the central bank not lowering rates, we see people trying to get in at the gates before rates start to rise.
average becoming earnings fed figures price start tells truly vigilant
The average hourly earnings figures were truly the spoiler of this report, ... It tells us that the Fed may now have to start becoming more vigilant about upcoming price pressures.
allow change connecting data environment favorable gives improving labor market months picture rapidly sea seen start
The two months of favorable data allow us to start connecting the dots. It gives us a picture of a rapidly improving labor market. I think we can categorically say we have seen a sea change in labor market environment at this time.
early expect fed historic near pick rate results savings seen starting though work
We're starting to see the savings rate pick up from near historic levels, which is very encouraging. Though we don't expect Fed tightening to work overnight, we are starting to see some of the early results of the significant tightening we've seen to date.
becoming formula higher interested looking people precisely seeing seem start time urgency
There doesn't seem to be any real urgency for firms to start hiring, precisely at a time we're seeing a reemergence of people becoming interested in looking for a job, ... Put the two together, and you have a formula for higher unemployment.
evidence next quarter recession recovery sector seeing solid start
We'll start seeing solid and significant evidence of recovery in the manufacturing sector in the first quarter next year. It was the first to go into recession and will be the first to come out.
bowls continue fed force full investors punch raising rates ready realize reception rooms soon start
What investors should realize is that the hostesses have been recruited to start removing the punch bowls from all Fed reception rooms and will soon be out full in force and ready to continue raising short-term rates well into 2003.