Anthony Chan
Anthony Chan
clearly economic higher increased oil prices recession risk saying serious
Saying that higher oil prices have not increased the risk of recession or serious economic slowdown is clearly not the same thing as saying that they have not had an impact.
almost area clearly file increase less orleans people
We have almost 500,000 people in the New Orleans area and you have a less than 80,000 increase in claims. We are going to have a lot more than that. Clearly a lot of people can't yet file claims.
behind creeping federal general housing increase last market mortgage rates reserve seen several tone year
Several times in the last year we've seen mortgage rates creeping up and housing hasn't responded. Now the Federal Reserve has put some credibility behind the increase in rates. I think it set a general tone for the housing market that it'll be a lot more muted.
beginning economy gradually increase instead justify market recovering rising sharp since stock
Since the beginning of this year, the economy has been recovering gradually....In that environment, a gradually rising stock market would be justified. Instead we got a sharp decline. Can we justify this rally? Absolutely....But we can't justify a thousand-point increase every week.
cyclical difficult factors increase means power pressure pricing push reduce
More globalization means there's more pressure to increase productivity, not to reduce it. No pricing power means there's more pressure to increase productivity, not less, ... There's so much pressure to push it higher, it will be difficult for cyclical factors to push it lower.
continue continued economic economy grow increases justifying likely quarter report supports thereby view
This report supports Greenspan's rosy economic view that the economy is likely to continue to grow unabated this quarter thereby justifying continued increases in short-term rates.
consumer delivering extent good increase movements news rate rather report sentiment
To the extent that consumer sentiment reacts to movements in the unemployment rate rather than the meager increase in non-farm payrolls, we have to take this ... report as delivering good news to the troops.
economic exports growth increased inventory picking problem small start
Exports increased by such a small amount, it's not enough to tell me the inventory problem is going to go away. We need world economic growth to start picking up.
boss increase jobs pay power pricing sector service tempting terrible wage
It's tempting to say these are terrible jobs, but the service sector has more wage pricing power than the manufacturing sector. If you're getting a pay increase from your boss today, it's probably not in manufacturing.
core cost early energy increases jump limited longer mature pass power pricing rest saw seeing today whenever
We still see limited penetration into the rest of the economy. It's too early to say you're seeing pricing power to pass on the energy cost increases just because you saw just a jump in the core PPI number. The world has changed. In the old traditional world, whenever you had mature expansion, you had pricing power. Today with globalization, that's no longer the case.
economy factor increased order players realizing support
A lot of players in the economy are realizing this is a sustainable expansion. That's a factor you must have in order to support increased hiring.
employment future increase indicator leading length serves small work
Additionally, it was encouraging to see a small increase in the length of the work week, which usually serves as a leading indicator of future employment growth.
costs energy goes increase reasons various
It could be the weather. Distribution costs increase with the cost of energy. Fertilizer goes up when energy goes up. There are various reasons for the surge.
couple employment increases past seen strong sudden
I haven't seen increases in the workweek strong enough to augur that all of a sudden employment is going to surge, ... If I had seen that in the past couple of months, I would be more optimistic.