Anthony Chan
Anthony Chan
catalyst continues energy market prices primary remains rule saw took
The primary catalyst in the market remains energy, it continues to rule the day. But then we saw that energy prices started to go up, and that took some of the luster off the gains.
average change dominated earnings gain length message small
When we see a change in payrolls that is dominated by a glitch in the seasonal factor, no change in average hourly earnings and only a small gain in the length in the average workweek, we know that the message is encouraging but not exhilarating,
change economy financial head ignore looking markets people sea seen strong
We've seen a sea change in the way the financial markets and economy watchers are looking at the world, ... For many months, people thought the economy was so strong and robust, they could ignore these head winds.
alan comments expansive fed greenspan inflation monetary obviously policy reflects report sort though wait
The CPI report was very tame. It sort of reflects the comments by Alan Greenspan that even though monetary policy is way too expansive right now, inflation is sufficiently a non-event, a non-problem, so the Fed obviously can wait at this point,
bank central consumer consumers continues encourage giving inflation lower numbers report spending whatever
The CPI report continues to be encouraging. These numbers are stimulating consumer spending by giving consumers more spending power. At the same time, lower inflation will also encourage the central bank to do whatever they need to do.
bank central consumer consumers continues encourage giving inflation lower numbers report spending whatever
The CPI report continues to be encouraging, ... These numbers are stimulating consumer spending by giving consumers more spending power. At the same time, lower inflation will also encourage the central bank to do whatever they need to do.
factors good
There are a lot of good factors out there.
clearly explosive puts question rest whether
This puts to rest any question of whether or not we're going to have an explosive recovery. We're clearly not.
arm concerns consumers direction excited gets holding notion otherwise provides seen shot
This provides a big shot in the arm to the notion that geopolitical concerns were holding back the economy. Otherwise we wouldn't have seen such a big pop. This probably exaggerates how excited consumers will be after all is said and done, but it gets the direction right.
anyone argue excluded talking
I think if you would have excluded the hurricanes, you would have been talking as much as 4.7 percent. I don't think anyone would argue 4.6 percent.
economic expansion explosive robust support
It doesn't give support to a robust expansion, ... Expansion is coming, just not the garden-variety explosive economic expansion.
above fed payroll puts
I think if you get a payroll above 300, it will probably spook the market. It puts the Fed back into play.
anxious core draw fed line meeting parties rise shows statement willing
I think if we get another 0.3 rise in the core CPI, I think the Fed will want to draw line in the sand, ... The Fed statement shows there are a lot of anxious parties at that meeting willing to be (more) aggressive.
august fed interest pause raise rate
It could raise expectations of a pause (in Fed interest rate hikes) after the August meeting,