Anthony Chan
Anthony Chan
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The Fed is fully aware that a slowly recovering economy needs to be nursed carefully back to health before the doctor sends the patient home.
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The Federal Reserve and energy prices really have the fate of the economy in their hands.
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The Fed will raise rates, but they're aware that higher energy prices might do some of their job. And inflation is not so high that they need to panic.
speed
I just see it as a speed bump.
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I remain more confident that the consumer will take great comfort in knowing that our government is truly taking care of business.
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In the short run, it's a no-win situation for the administration. But longer term, it's a win-win situation because you keep financial flows going, and economic growth will become a lot firmer.
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I haven't seen increases in the workweek strong enough to augur that all of a sudden employment is going to surge, ... If I had seen that in the past couple of months, I would be more optimistic.
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I have to come away with the view that the drop in crude prices offered the opportunity for a relief rally, although it didn't offer that much relief.
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I really don't see a ratcheting up of concerns for the Fed. I still think they are concerned enough that they'll do two more rate hikes, but I didn't see anything in this report that would suggest that they need to do more.
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Investors have become completely convinced that we need to see the housing canary buckle under a little bit. If the housing market softens, then investors will view that as the canary in the cave that indicates that central bankers will not have to be as aggressive.
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In view of the stimulus already out there, I think the Fed will finish out the year by raising rates until the end.
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Investors will be intently listening to see if he says anything that clears up what the future monetary path is likely to be,
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If I was to guess, it was probably a case of him being shrewd.
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The retail sales figures clearly prove that betting against the consumer is a sucker's bet. Not surprisingly, the ex-auto figure on retail sales tears down the argument that consumers are only buying cars and houses.