Nariman Behravesh
Nariman Behravesh
Nariman Behravesh is Chief Economist at the consulting firm IHS Inc. and author of Spin-Free Economics: A No-Nonsense, Nonpartisan Guide to Today's Global Economic Debates. Directing the entire economic forecasting process at IHS, he is responsible for developing the economic outlook and risk analysis for the United States, Europe, Japan, China and other emerging markets. He oversees the work of over 400 professionals, located in North America, Europe, Asia, Latin America, the Middle East and Africa who cover economic, financial...
fuel hard high hit housing landing marketing prices soft worry
The big uncertainty is how much of a hit the housing marketing will take. Is it going to be a hard landing or a soft landing? I worry about that much more than I worry about high fuel prices right now.
housing maybe pervasive rest seeing signs third trend underlying weakness
Of that 8.9 percent, maybe a third of it was weather-related. The rest of it is underlying trend of weakness in the housing market. You are seeing pervasive signs of weakness.
early economy growth housing november strong
A strong economy and post-hurricane reconstruction boosted growth in November and could keep housing strong through early 2006.
bit caught cool economy housing inflation market mostly oil reflected situation slow slowing split tried
The U.K. tried to cool off the housing market and slow their economy a bit, and they're caught in a situation where the economy is slowing but inflation isn't mostly because of oil prices, ... It's a bit of a dilemma, and that's reflected in their split vote.
falling full home housing point rising starts
All housing indicators point to a slowdown that is in full swing: falling home sales, rising inventories, and now falling starts and permits.
depend housing key patch soft terms weak whether
A lot will depend on how weak housing gets, in terms of whether we go into a real soft patch or not. That's the key here.
felt happen shocking starting
It's starting to happen in high-tech professions which we felt were 'ours,' ... That's what's shocking people.
evidence growth solid
This is just more evidence that we have got pretty solid growth and very little inflation.
engineered fed seems soft
The Fed seems to have engineered a soft landing.
capacity comfort core despite fact fed gradually higher inflation modest oil pressures remains rising wage
The Fed can take comfort in the fact that core inflation remains tame, despite some modest inflationary pressures - gradually rising wage inflation, tighter capacity constraints and higher oil prices.
clearly economy fourth good growing growth labor last market payroll rebound seeing similar soft spot
The labor market is growing at a pretty good pace. We're clearly seeing a rebound in the economy from the soft spot we experienced in the fourth quarter, and I think we'll see payroll growth similar to last year.
answer core economy economy-and-economics fact far good inflation price question rest
The fact that we're not getting a spillover into the rest of the economy is pretty good news. The question that core inflation asks: Is the price of everything going to go through the roof? So far the answer is no.
fall growth hit
We will take a hit to growth but we won't fall into a recession.
effect energy hurricane prices rising
Even before the hurricane hit, rising energy prices were having a dampening effect on the economy,