Nariman Behravesh
Nariman Behravesh
Nariman Behravesh is Chief Economist at the consulting firm IHS Inc. and author of Spin-Free Economics: A No-Nonsense, Nonpartisan Guide to Today's Global Economic Debates. Directing the entire economic forecasting process at IHS, he is responsible for developing the economic outlook and risk analysis for the United States, Europe, Japan, China and other emerging markets. He oversees the work of over 400 professionals, located in North America, Europe, Asia, Latin America, the Middle East and Africa who cover economic, financial...
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We seem to be able to absorb serial shocks.
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While inflation remains tame, inflationary pressures keep building. Thus, the Fed can't let its guard down.
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His willingness to change is important in a world that changes rapidly.
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From lawn services to meat packing, you name it. The primary benefit to consumers from illegal workers is lower prices.
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Bush has probably made the best choice among the top contenders for the post and one that is likely to reassure financial markets.
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His academic work on inflation targeting will be of great comfort to many market analysts and investors who are beginning to fret about inflation,
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Because the economy is strong and job growth is strong, the consumer has not felt much pain, but that is likely to change in the next few months, ... I think we are headed for a period of economic weakness mostly related to the oil situation.
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A lot will depend on how weak housing gets, in terms of whether we go into a real soft patch or not. That's the key here.
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The economy is on a somewhat stronger growth trajectory.
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The G-7 is quite impotent on oil. They can say what they want, but they won't have a lot of effect on prices.
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The fundamentals for strong capital spending remain in place - record corporate profits and an economy that will post solid growth.
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The higher energy costs will put a squeeze on both businesses and households. They're spending so much on energy - the households on gasoline, the airlines on jet fuel, for example - that they'll have to curtail elsewhere.
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The industrial production numbers in the next two months will look pretty awful as the full impact of the hurricane-related shutdowns shows up in the data.
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The losers were on the low end. Retailers like Wal-Mart had a pretty lackluster holiday shopping season because their customers were hit the hardest by the energy situation.