Nariman Behravesh

Nariman Behravesh
Nariman Behravesh is Chief Economist at the consulting firm IHS Inc. and author of Spin-Free Economics: A No-Nonsense, Nonpartisan Guide to Today's Global Economic Debates. Directing the entire economic forecasting process at IHS, he is responsible for developing the economic outlook and risk analysis for the United States, Europe, Japan, China and other emerging markets. He oversees the work of over 400 professionals, located in North America, Europe, Asia, Latin America, the Middle East and Africa who cover economic, financial...
awful employment few impact industrial inflation numbers production starting
We are just starting to see the impact of Katrina. We are going to see awful inflation numbers, awful employment numbers and awful industrial production numbers for a few months.
environment
We are in a much more competitive environment than we were 20 years ago.
early economy growth housing november strong
A strong economy and post-hurricane reconstruction boosted growth in November and could keep housing strong through early 2006.
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Auto numbers reflect the ripple effect of incentive programs pulling forward sales from the fourth quarter into the third quarter.
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This is bad news, but it's old news, I fully expect the economy to bounce back strongly in the first quarter.
bad
This is bad news, but it's old news.
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The most pleasant surprise and remarkable development in 2005 has been the resilience of the US and Asian economies to record high oil prices.
demand economy goods hurricane impact remains strength underlying
Once you take out the impact of Hurricane Katrina, demand for manufactured goods remains pretty robust. The underlying strength in the economy is still pretty good.
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This is an economy where airlines are paying record prices for jet fuel, and yet it is very hard to pass through those costs.
currency deficits next start three
I think the way out of these deficits is that the U.S. currency will start to come down over the next two to three years.
line reasoning
I think that whole line of reasoning is overdone.
change changes
His willingness to change is important in a world that changes rapidly.
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Record-high profits, combined with solid economic growth and rising capacity utilization will translate into robust capital spending - all good news for the industrial sectors of the economy.
energy prices rest spill
Record-high energy prices did not spill over into the rest of the economy.