Barry Hyman
Barry Hyman
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We're seeing pre-releases starting in 'old economy' stocks - companies that are not leading-edge tech companies but are more affected by this dramatic rise in energy prices.
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The CPI will still have an influence on the Fed meeting. You are in a bear market in technology stocks and you'll have to accept that. You're not going to get anything significant until the second half of the year.
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The CPI will still have an influence on the Fed meeting, ... You are in a bear market in technology stocks and you'll have to accept that. You're not going to get anything significant until the second half of the year.
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Overall the earnings seem to be coming in a little better than expected, but the news has been the lackluster going-forward look in high-profile names in tech and finance.
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People have gotten into the belief that much of technology is cyclical now.
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The ability of Intel to come out and say a 'no worse than expected' story pleased the market. There are many other corporations in technology that are in that position so that if the slowdown is just a slowdown, there's good upside in many of those issues.
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The 10-year bond looks like it's headed higher, so I think the feeling is starting to pervade Wall Street that economy's fine and interest rates are heading higher. But the market has (also) been choppy and struggling with some key technical levels.
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I think it's too late to be worried about where your tech stock is going to go from here. There are some opportunities out there and we are aware of the short-term problems in the marketplace with the Fed being aggressive. So, we're not looking for a very vigorous rally over the next one to three months. There will be trading rallies. But the investor, the small investor, the intermediate-to-long-term investor should use the summer time, which is seasonally weak for technology stocks, to start to accumulate an easier way into some of these great companies,
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Without any major tech stories, the economic numbers are going to take center stage. It started on Friday with the first peek at the GDP (gross domestic product) for the first quarter.
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You have the correct sectors continuing to lead, which are technology and financials. The Michigan numbers were good today, and oil prices are down.
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Today, the catalyst in technology was the report that PC sales in the second quarter slowed. The PC sector feeds into the semiconductor sector, which feeds into other parts of technology.
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Nothing is negative out there but there's such little commitment. The tone of the market is that technology still looks lackluster.
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You have to be careful. There are not many sectors that are doing well out there. This is a slowing economy. People are looking for security of earnings. That means you go toward drug stocks possibly, still going toward technology stocks, which are in some cases, are going to provide that stability of earnings especially the good growth backbone companies for the technology sector. Avoid cyclical stocks, avoid retail stocks. Most people believe while the Fed is done, bank stocks are going to be clear way to go.
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Today will be a test of the market to see how it handles some negative news in the tech sector, Dell being that test.