Barry Hyman
Barry Hyman
concerned direct economy effect either expect hikes interest line looking market number rate remain tame
I expect (ECI) to be very tame and show now inflation. It's the GDP I'm concerned about. If either one doesn't come in line (with expectations), the market will remain under pressure, ... I'm looking at the GDP number because that's going to give us a direct causal effect to how well the interest rate hikes have slowed the economy down.
bad broader certainly changed effect negatives news psychology
There are certainly negatives out there, ... But the psychology has changed and the bad news isn't having as big an effect on the broader market.
changed consumer cuts dropping economy economy-and-economics effect equity forward gains giving hamper interest markets mean psychology rate time
I don't think the economy can really withstand the equity markets dropping down and giving back all of its gains ? that would really hamper consumer confidence. The one thing that has changed is psychology ? it's time to look forward to what the effect interest rate cuts mean for the economy.
accept adjust believe bit dramatic economy effects eventual extent fact fed half horizon interest investment investors market next peak satisfy seeing situation slow slowing soon talk tough wants year
I do believe that the Fed is going to talk a little bit tough and say that it's a little bit too soon to accept the fact that we're seeing this slow economy to the extent that it's going to satisfy the Fed. And I believe that is what is going to keep the market in check. And it's another situation the Fed wants to try to control. They do want to keep this market in check. And we're going to have a slowing economy, and it's going to have dramatic effects on how investors look at the investment horizon going forward, at least for the next half of the year as we adjust to this slowing economy and the eventual peak in interest rates,
ability consumers created effect gains goods increase luxury market past provided regular spending three wealth
The market has created this wealth effect because there have been a lot of gains over the past two or three years, ... That has provided the ability for consumers to increase spending on regular goods and luxury goods.
affect blue chips coming companies economy-and-economics effect interest investors less rates technology
The idea is that interest rates will affect the old-economy companies more, because they are more interest rate sensitive. You will probably have less of an effect on technology stocks, and there is a lot of bargain-hunting going on. I think investors are a little more comfortable coming into these blue chips down 30 percent.
august bit friday gave hike likely number
The PPI number on Friday gave us a little bit of a hint that there most likely will be a hike on August 24th, but that'll be it,
announcing company corporate major positive
When you have a major company like GE boosting its dividend and announcing a big buyback, that's very positive for corporate America,
constant exhibit market negative news opportunity
Without having that constant barrage of negative news, there is the opportunity for the market to exhibit some strength.
action earnings hard market narrow negotiate pick stable stronger today trend trying
Trying to pick a trend in this market is impossible. Friday's action was anemic, and today there's anticipation of a stronger earnings season. Other than short-term traders, it's hard to negotiate a market that is so narrow in range. We're at least stable for now, but there hasn't been a trend for over a month.
commentary expected percent quarter seems
With an expected quarter percent rise, the commentary seems a little more hawkish than expected.
course earnings ignore potential
You have to ignore that because they're of course going to be bad, ... You have to look at earnings potential, and cyclicality stocks, I'll go for International Paper.
market rounds sell stories treated whether worry
You have a market on eggshells. The stories that make the rounds are being treated as sell first and then worry about whether they're true.
avoid backbone bank believe clear companies cyclical earnings fed good growth looking means people provide retail security slowing stability stocks technology toward
You have to be careful. There are not many sectors that are doing well out there. This is a slowing economy. People are looking for security of earnings. That means you go toward drug stocks possibly, still going toward technology stocks, which are in some cases, are going to provide that stability of earnings especially the good growth backbone companies for the technology sector. Avoid cyclical stocks, avoid retail stocks. Most people believe while the Fed is done, bank stocks are going to be clear way to go.