Barry Hyman
Barry Hyman
august bit friday gave hike likely number
The PPI number on Friday gave us a little bit of a hint that there most likely will be a hike on August 24th, but that'll be it,
aggressive chain earnings fairly federal higher number numbers steam subject translate
This number is very startling. It is the preliminary, so it is subject to fairly substantive revision. These numbers may translate into earnings risk, but may also dissuade an aggressive Federal Reserve. The chain deflator was higher than expected, which may take the steam out of our rally. This may dampen enthusiasm, but not kill it.
aggressive earnings fairly federal number numbers subject translate
This number is very startling. It is preliminary, so it is subject to fairly substantive revision. These numbers may translate into earnings risk, but may also dissuade an aggressive Federal Reserve.
based christmas continued low number puts retail seen spending stocks
Based upon how we've seen retail stocks perform, any continued low (consumer confidence) number puts a crimp in the Christmas spending story.
bond concern continue defensive equity fed market number numbers pressure raising seeing shows store stressed
Now we're going to see more pressure on the bond market and an already stressed equity market. There's a lot of concern and we're seeing some defensive investing. This number shows that the Fed will continue raising rates. Numbers like this show that we're in store for two more hikes.
bit fed inflation input key next numbers retail sales statistics
Next week's retail sales numbers and inflation numbers are going to be some key statistics to give us a little bit more input into where the Fed stands.
consumer earnings good market numbers people regard retail sales seeing shows stronger tech today
Retail sales numbers were stronger than expected, and that shows that consumer are still spending, and I think that is weighing on the market today and it should. But it's not weighing on the Nasdaq, where you're seeing those really good earnings reports. People really regard tech as the place to make money.
bit continued durable goods number shows strength stronger
There is a little bit of profit-taking and a little bit of nervousness as we go into Thursday's GDP number, ... The durable goods number was a little stronger than expected. That shows continued strength in the economy. That is not what you want to see right now.
below bullish concerned drop economy numbers percent report saw slowing support today
The productivity numbers today (Thursday) and tomorrow's (Friday's) report do nothing to support a bullish market. I would be concerned if we saw the unemployment drop below 4 percent because that would show the economy is not slowing down.
economy economy-and-economics inflation key number seen talk toward whether
The productivity number is key toward determining whether the economy can show some stabilization. We've seen weakening numbers, which hasn't helped, but there is no inflation story to talk about here.
afford economic impact line morning news number overlook retail rise sales
I think we are still in a consolidation period, ... and I think we can't afford to overlook the impact of the economic news on the market. You had a retail sales number this morning that was in line but nothing spectacular and a rise in jobless claims.
concerned direct economy effect either expect hikes interest line looking market number rate remain tame
I expect (ECI) to be very tame and show now inflation. It's the GDP I'm concerned about. If either one doesn't come in line (with expectations), the market will remain under pressure, ... I'm looking at the GDP number because that's going to give us a direct causal effect to how well the interest rate hikes have slowed the economy down.
broad confidence consumer main number optimism shows start strength today
What I like about today is that all of the main S&P sectors are higher, which shows broad strength for the market. And the consumer confidence number suggests optimism about the start of 2005.
center domestic economic friday major numbers peek tech
Without any major tech stories, the economic numbers are going to take center stage. It started on Friday with the first peek at the GDP (gross domestic product) for the first quarter.