Barry Hyman
Barry Hyman
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The war effort seems to be going extremely well, much better than people thought it would.
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We've been stuck in an extremely narrow band for the last few weeks, and this could break us out.
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It was unanimous we'd have a year-end rally until the yield curve inverted. We wanted to close the market on a high note this year, but now we're worried that the 2006 market will have to deal with this. The next Federal Reserve meeting will be extremely critical. We have to hope this isn't predictive of a recession or a slowing economy.
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In the face of geopolitical tension and oil up almost 4% for the day, the market held up extremely well. Today could've been a nasty day, but everything still performed well. This was a decent end to a lackluster week.
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(Microsoft) has been trading like the company (had already) lost the antitrust case against the government. The stock has been extremely weak compared to its sector and especially since the company has already reported earnings.
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The market gets extremely concerned on (long-term) interest rates when they get above 6 percent.
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You will have to pay him on every can of paint, every carpet, every everything that goes into your house, ... He's betting on the next economic upswing again, and that's why Berkshire Hathaway has done extremely well. He's a very smart investor.
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I'm neutral on the market here, as I believe stocks will be caught in a range as investors try to figure out the story of inflation and economic growth going forward.
carry retailers turned
The blue-chips just turned down. Regardless, the retailers were up but really not enough to carry the market.
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The bias still seems to be to the upside. Buyers are optimistic and see the long-term side of the market. The downward pressure now is not that great. The money flow has just been too strong.
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The bias for today and tomorrow should still be to the upside because of the end of the quarter when you get portfolio adjustments.
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The barrage of economic data will be the one saving grace for the markets this week,
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The retail sales numbers we saw should have presumed a rally but we had some selling in Hewlett-Packard and NBC Internet. During the day, people started to realize that retail sales were good news.
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There's worry about higher interest rates. The bond market has been very weak, and we can assume the higher interest rates are signs of a rebounding economy. This gives people a feeling of comfort, but we also worry about how rates are going to go and whether it will crimp economic activity further down the road.