Barry Hyman
Barry Hyman
buy earnings favorite guess stock trend until
Don't buy your favorite stock until you see the earnings statement. It's better to have the trend with you than guess at a bottom.
beyond bias five move next percent question resistance three
The next three percent move for the S&P could be up, and that would take us to important resistance levels. The question is what is the bias beyond that, what is the next five percent for the market? That's not clear.
numbers quarters reporting row skeptical
The numbers look good, but it's two quarters in a row that analysts are skeptical about how they're reporting their numbers.
believe cuts expected fed further happen indicate recovery starting street understanding wall weakness
They (the Fed) did indicate that there could be further cuts and that was something Wall Street was starting to believe wasn't going to be the expected outcome. This is part of the recovery process. It's not going to happen immediately but this is the Fed understanding the weakness in the economy.
believe beyond deal due earnings fed gains hikes interest market rate
A lot of the gains are due to the earnings story. I think the market can deal with one or two more interest rate hikes and believe that the Fed is not going beyond neutral.
due earnings gains
A lot of the gains are due to the earnings story.
accepted behind best clean companies earnings fact forecasts gotten growth half handful name percent quarter scenes season second stocks surface totally year
We've accepted the fact that the earnings growth for the quarter is around 20, 21 percent year-over-year for the S&P. But there's been this behind the scenes look or under the surface look at revenue. And we haven't got the best of forecasts for the second half of the year in many companies going forward. And if you don't have that pristine look -- where you come in this earnings season totally clean -- you've gotten battered. And I can't even name more than a handful of stocks that have come through.
bad broader certainly changed effect negatives news psychology
There are certainly negatives out there, ... But the psychology has changed and the bad news isn't having as big an effect on the broader market.
affected companies dramatic energy rise seeing starting stocks tech
We're seeing pre-releases starting in 'old economy' stocks - companies that are not leading-edge tech companies but are more affected by this dramatic rise in energy prices.
absolute beyond economy-and-economics forward giving half reflection says second suspicion
The reflection of what Cisco says is an absolute reflection of the economy. If Cisco is giving this forward look beyond the first quarter, then the suspicion of a possibility for a second half upturn may not be as evident.
analysis breaking broken cheap close companies earnings estimates ibm listed market next premium quality research service stock technical technology trading types
In technology, IBM ( IBM : Research , Estimates ) is more of a technical analysis play. The stock has broken out, or getting very close to breaking out, of a trading range. And I think the market's still going to give a premium to quality companies in technology. IBM being listed doesn't get that Nasdaq appeal, however. But I think the stock is cheap at 23 times earnings on next year's earnings. And their big server market and the other types of technology they have are doing very well in the service sector.
continue hard heading market move periods rates reason
I look at a market here that is going to continue to be impacted by rates going higher, ... and I think it's heading into one of those post-earnings periods where it meanders. It's hard to see any substantive reason for us to move higher.
companies economic economy growth next numbers required seeing showing slowing solid steady stream week
I think next week it will be important to see two things: solid numbers out of growth companies and seeing still a steady stream of economic numbers showing the required slowing of the economy with no inflation.
good next opportunity week
I think next week has another opportunity to be another good week.