Ned Riley
Ned Riley
beginning demand earnings economy loan looking next people picked test
We're just beginning to see justification for the market's rise, with the earnings that have already come in. The next test comes tomorrow, with the banks. People will be looking to see if loan demand in the economy has picked up.
buy company cyclical earnings high level looking might next opportunity percent selling several trying visibility
We're looking at a company that's going to grow, I think, at about 14 percent over the next several years with, I might add, a lot of predictability and I think a lot of visibility and a high level of confidence, ... So with Merck at 31 times earnings now and down about 20 percent from its high, I think we're getting into an opportunity where it's a lot better than trying to buy a cyclical that's selling at 27 times earnings and where the visibility is a lot more questionable.
avoiding gossip looking
We're back to looking at the fundamentals and, at least temporarily, avoiding gossip and rumors.
actual commentary cycle earnings exhaustion focus looking people point regards results road selling tech trying upside worst
The worst point of the tech cycle is probably upon us now, but the actual results and the commentary on earnings are no surprise. There's a selling exhaustion in regards to tech stocks. People are trying to focus on the road ahead. Looking forward; there is a lot of upside potential.
depressed environment gave ibm looking notion people political remained saw sector stability tech using
There was a combination of things that really depressed it. One was Hewlett-Packard's shortfall and we had a sympathetic sell-off using the political environment as a backdrop. Ironically, IBM remained the stalwart and it probably gave the notion of stability to the tech sector and we saw some people looking for bargains.
earnings investors leader light looking needs reports technology though
Technology needs to be the leader on the way up, because it was the leader on the way down. Even though the earnings reports are miserable, there's a light at the end of the tunnel. That's what investors are looking at right now.
downward extremely looking market reaction though
The market's reaction has been pretty benign. But I think the market is looking at this as more constructive than destructive. I think the market has absorbed this extremely well even though there is a downward bias.
dearth good market negative news sign
There has been a dearth of negative news, which to the market has to be a sign of good news.
below fall higher investors market oil prices start work
We're nearing an inflection point. I think the market will start to work higher as investors become more comfortable with higher oil prices -- particularly if oil can fall below $50 -- and after the presidential election.
appears consumer happened report retail sales spending today
What really happened today is the retail sales report set the right tone, ... It appears that consumer spending is down.
tech win
You had to be in tech to win in this period.
commentary companies negative prepared second warn
Be prepared for a continuation of negative commentary by companies as they warn about the second quarter.
complete correction fishing lows mode people tech today
Today we're in the bottom- fishing mode and there are a lot of people who think the tech correction is complete and we've established our lows for this cycle.
banks basically bit comments continue created financial market moving stocks took treasury
What unnerved the market the most and will continue to keep moving it was Greenspan's comments about the treasury market, ... The comments basically took a lot of financial stocks off guard, all the banks and brokers. That paired with PPI created a bit of a panic.