Timothy Ghriskey
Timothy Ghriskey
attention captured dire few issues last market trading weeks
The issues that have captured investors' attention over the last few weeks have cooled down, but they're still there. We don't think the market is in a dire situation, but we don't think we're in anything other than a trading range.
although fear federal forward inflation might months next numbers people reserve week worrying
The fear that's out there is forward looking, with people worrying about inflation and what the Federal Reserve might do in the months ahead. So the numbers next week won't help, although we do get a lot of earnings, which is good.
front issues markets rates regarding weeks
The two issues regarding rates that have been in front of the markets for weeks have been 'when will rates rise, and by how much?,'
buyers certainly good last opportunity provided week
We've had some very good earnings. Certainly the sell-off we've had in the last week or so has provided an opportunity for buyers to come back into the market.
basically dead half slow type volume wednesday week
It's the type of week where we're going to see slow volume and basically a half day Wednesday and a dead Friday.
april conditions growth including likely number picking reflect second talked week
The most important read this week is the first look at GDP growth in the second quarter, ... A number of companies, including GE recently, have talked about April and May being tough, but conditions picking up in June, particularly the second half, and the GDP number will likely reflect that.
foot labor major next people seeing shows tends volatility volume weekend
We're seeing volume but no volatility in prices. And I think that just shows you that a lot of people are away and people are not making major moves. But next week, when everyone comes back from the Labor Day weekend it tends to be a big week and they really put the foot to accelerator and go, go, go.
economic either rally reports rest strengthen today undermine volume week
I like the rally today and the volume is good, but we still have a lot of economic reports to get through the rest of the week that could either undermine it or strengthen it.
bit earnings economy higher improving justify lifted markets mood positive proof stock summer translated
We're into a bit of the summer doldrums. There have been a lot of positive earnings surprises, but the anticipation of that has lifted markets for months, with little proof that the economy is improving enough to justify those earnings. So the mood is more upbeat, but that hasn't translated to higher stock prices.
seeing
We're seeing a pullback really just from yesterday.
high hit remember seeing selling
We're seeing a little selling today, but I think it's important to remember that we just hit an 18-month high on the Dow, and so we're going to see a little pullback short-term.
early focused holiday january reports season
What we'll be focused on in early January will be more reports on how the holiday season went for retailers.
building calendars certainly clear coming fact favor highly historic market related seen since somewhat stock styles technology valued volatile wrong
We've seen a very volatile stock market since February. Different styles and sectors, like technology or financials, coming in and out of favor with no clear direction. There's nothing really wrong with techs. They are certainly somewhat highly valued by any historic measure, but probably not as highly valued as they were in February. We think, actually, come the fall, we could see a big tech rally, and that would probably be related to the fact that the IPO calendars are really building at the big underwriting firms, the big broker dealers.
beyond bond both initial issues morning number rally range remain stock stuck until
The CPI number this morning sparked a rally in both stock and bond markets. But beyond the initial reaction, I think we're going to remain stuck in this range until other issues get resolved.