Timothy Ghriskey
Timothy Ghriskey
early focused holiday january reports season
What we'll be focused on in early January will be more reports on how the holiday season went for retailers.
coming continue earnings economic estimates fourth increase longer reports seeing selling start strong support
Earnings have been coming in by-and-large at better-than-expected levels. But a lot of that has been priced in, and so you're seeing some selling on the news. But the profit-taking is short-term. Longer term, we should continue to see strong economic reports that support the rally, and we should start to see analysts' estimates increase for the fourth quarter.
economic either rally reports rest strengthen today undermine volume week
I like the rally today and the volume is good, but we still have a lot of economic reports to get through the rest of the week that could either undermine it or strengthen it.
bit earnings economy higher improving justify lifted markets mood positive proof stock summer translated
We're into a bit of the summer doldrums. There have been a lot of positive earnings surprises, but the anticipation of that has lifted markets for months, with little proof that the economy is improving enough to justify those earnings. So the mood is more upbeat, but that hasn't translated to higher stock prices.
seeing
We're seeing a pullback really just from yesterday.
high hit remember seeing selling
We're seeing a little selling today, but I think it's important to remember that we just hit an 18-month high on the Dow, and so we're going to see a little pullback short-term.
building calendars certainly clear coming fact favor highly historic market related seen since somewhat stock styles technology valued volatile wrong
We've seen a very volatile stock market since February. Different styles and sectors, like technology or financials, coming in and out of favor with no clear direction. There's nothing really wrong with techs. They are certainly somewhat highly valued by any historic measure, but probably not as highly valued as they were in February. We think, actually, come the fall, we could see a big tech rally, and that would probably be related to the fact that the IPO calendars are really building at the big underwriting firms, the big broker dealers.
beyond bond both initial issues morning number rally range remain stock stuck until
The CPI number this morning sparked a rally in both stock and bond markets. But beyond the initial reaction, I think we're going to remain stuck in this range until other issues get resolved.
beyond bond both initial issues morning number rally range remain stock stuck until
The CPI number this morning sparked a rally in both stock and bond markets, ... But beyond the initial reaction, I think we're going to remain stuck in this range until other issues get resolved.
events issue market oil seems today
Overall, the issue for the market right now is oil. Today it seems to be about the events in Nigeria, but with oil it's been just one issue after another lately.
buying coming investors markets nor period seeing selling series sinister small smaller straight today ups
Markets don't go straight up, nor should they. What we're seeing today is very necessary. You want to see a series of small ups and smaller downs, with new investors coming back in and buying the dips. This period of selling is nothing more sinister than that.
boost earnings market seem
It doesn't seem like corporations want to boost their earnings projections as much as the market would like.
asset cash favorable managers portfolio sitting sure tends today window
I think today is a day of portfolio window dressing, with asset managers making sure they don't have cash sitting around for the end of the year, which tends to be favorable for stocks.
fear tech
I think there's a lot of fear about the earnings, particularly the tech earnings.