Timothy Ghriskey
Timothy Ghriskey
help high intel
Expectations were so high for Intel that they couldn't help but disappoint,
building calendars certainly clear coming fact favor highly historic market related seen since somewhat stock styles technology valued volatile wrong
We've seen a very volatile stock market since February. Different styles and sectors, like technology or financials, coming in and out of favor with no clear direction. There's nothing really wrong with techs. They are certainly somewhat highly valued by any historic measure, but probably not as highly valued as they were in February. We think, actually, come the fall, we could see a big tech rally, and that would probably be related to the fact that the IPO calendars are really building at the big underwriting firms, the big broker dealers.
bit earnings economy higher improving justify lifted markets mood positive proof stock summer translated
We're into a bit of the summer doldrums. There have been a lot of positive earnings surprises, but the anticipation of that has lifted markets for months, with little proof that the economy is improving enough to justify those earnings. So the mood is more upbeat, but that hasn't translated to higher stock prices.
high hit remember seeing selling
We're seeing a little selling today, but I think it's important to remember that we just hit an 18-month high on the Dow, and so we're going to see a little pullback short-term.
flow generally gut higher labor light news pick says stock volume
Volume is very light, and the news flow is generally light as well. After Labor Day, I think we're going to see volume pick up, and my gut says we're going to see higher stock prices.
bringing correction early highs level market reached seems since stock
I think we've had a pretty significant correction in the stock market since the highs in early March, and we've reached a level that seems to be bringing in buyers.
costs cyclical debt high risk takes taking wrong
This is a very cyclical business. If an acquirer takes on debt to do this, there is high risk in that. They could be taking on a lot of debt and restructuring costs just at the wrong time.
good numbers saw
We saw some good numbers come out of GE and UTX, which bodes well for the economy, but I think we're still in this correction.
company confidence earnings industry metal outlook recovery remains road
These earnings really give analysts confidence that this company and the industry and the metal are well on the road to recovery and the outlook remains strong.
case clear economy life march muddy remain report terms waters whether
The waters remain very muddy in terms of the economy. Friday's payrolls report made the case that the economy still has some life to it, but it's not clear yet whether the slowdown in March was temporary.
case clear economy life march muddy remain report terms waters whether
The waters remain very muddy in terms of the economy, ... Friday's payrolls report made the case that the economy still has some life to it, but it's not clear yet whether the slowdown in March was temporary.
coming continue earnings economic estimates fourth increase longer reports seeing selling start strong support
Earnings have been coming in by-and-large at better-than-expected levels. But a lot of that has been priced in, and so you're seeing some selling on the news. But the profit-taking is short-term. Longer term, we should continue to see strong economic reports that support the rally, and we should start to see analysts' estimates increase for the fourth quarter.
continue economy gains period saw stock strong support
Even if GDP is strong tomorrow, even better than the 6.0 consensus, you may not see a big stock reaction, ... As you saw yesterday, we're in a period where the economy should continue to support the stock gains going forward.
aggressive alan basis fed greenspan happen knows market needs points prepare raising rates start talk
The talk is that the Fed is going to be getting more aggressive soon, and may start raising rates by 50 basis points at a time. It's not going to happen this time, because (Fed Chairman) Alan Greenspan knows he needs to prepare the market for this in advance.