Timothy Ghriskey
Timothy Ghriskey
affect economy leadership market period seems terms
This seems to be a period where the market is very unsettled. There's really no leadership and that's because there's a lot of uncertainty, not only about the Fed, but in terms of where the economy is going and how that will affect corporations.
people season wake
If (these warnings don't) wake up people that we're in preannouncement season and the preannouncements are going to be bad, I don't know what will,
buyers left maybe money starting
Maybe there aren't a lot of sellers left and buyers are starting to put money into the market,
financial major obviously risk stocks worse
Obviously very leveraged to the financial markets, ... When stocks are going up, this stock should do better than the market. When stocks go down, it should do worse than the market. So, there is risk here. But, it's the most diversified of the major broker dealers.
earnings good investors last mostly news october reason saw seeing
We're seeing the same thing that we saw in October during the last earnings period, where investors used mostly good news as a reason to take profits.
barrel crude drag falls light oil parts price rally sets sweet various
Light sweet crude is over $45 a barrel now, and that's a big drag on various parts of the economy. I think at some point, the price of oil falls and that sets off a rally in the market.
building calendars certainly clear coming fact favor highly historic market related seen since somewhat stock styles technology valued volatile wrong
We've seen a very volatile stock market since February. Different styles and sectors, like technology or financials, coming in and out of favor with no clear direction. There's nothing really wrong with techs. They are certainly somewhat highly valued by any historic measure, but probably not as highly valued as they were in February. We think, actually, come the fall, we could see a big tech rally, and that would probably be related to the fact that the IPO calendars are really building at the big underwriting firms, the big broker dealers.
beyond bond both initial issues morning number rally range remain stock stuck until
The CPI number this morning sparked a rally in both stock and bond markets. But beyond the initial reaction, I think we're going to remain stuck in this range until other issues get resolved.
beyond bond both initial issues morning number rally range remain stock stuck until
The CPI number this morning sparked a rally in both stock and bond markets, ... But beyond the initial reaction, I think we're going to remain stuck in this range until other issues get resolved.
early focused holiday january reports season
What we'll be focused on in early January will be more reports on how the holiday season went for retailers.
boost earnings market seem
It doesn't seem like corporations want to boost their earnings projections as much as the market would like.
begin continue depend early earnings economic estimates evidence fact judging july less market move negative recent start
I think we can see the market continue to move up through the summer, but it's going to depend on the earnings and the economic news. We should begin to see some evidence of an economic pick-up in the July data, which will start to come out early August. Second-quarter earnings look to be favorable, judging by the estimates and the fact that there have been less negative pre-announcements than in recent quarters.
beyond lift relief seen slight
I think we've seen a slight relief rally, but I don't see what there is out there that's going to lift us beyond that.
bringing correction early highs level market reached seems since stock
I think we've had a pretty significant correction in the stock market since the highs in early March, and we've reached a level that seems to be bringing in buyers.