Timothy Ghriskey
Timothy Ghriskey
building calendars certainly clear coming fact favor highly historic market related seen since somewhat stock styles technology valued volatile wrong
We've seen a very volatile stock market since February. Different styles and sectors, like technology or financials, coming in and out of favor with no clear direction. There's nothing really wrong with techs. They are certainly somewhat highly valued by any historic measure, but probably not as highly valued as they were in February. We think, actually, come the fall, we could see a big tech rally, and that would probably be related to the fact that the IPO calendars are really building at the big underwriting firms, the big broker dealers.
beyond lift relief seen slight
I think we've seen a slight relief rally, but I don't see what there is out there that's going to lift us beyond that.
economist hikes interest last point positive rate seen thinks
What our economist thinks at this point is that we have probably seen the last of interest rate hikes by the Fed, which could be a positive thing for the transportation sector,
concerns height litigation seen track
We think we've seen the height of the litigation concerns here. We think we're on a down track here,
again good leading market relative sector seeing seen sign strength technology
Yet again we're seeing relative strength in the technology sector and we've really seen this for about a week. Big Tech is leading the market and that's a good sign for that sector.
consumers investor last picked retail saving seen
If the retail investor has picked up, as you've seen in January, that's a positive, in that you want consumers to be saving more and investing. But you never want to be the last one in and too often that's the case.
business cautious companies conditions current economic economy few future impact impression improving last might onto rather seen taking trend
The impression is that corporations are being increasingly cautious in their projections for the first quarter, which is a trend that you've seen for the last few quarters. I think the companies are taking current economic and business conditions and projecting them onto the future earnings, rather than incorporating the impact the improving economy might have on earnings.
bit earnings economy higher improving justify lifted markets mood positive proof stock summer translated
We're into a bit of the summer doldrums. There have been a lot of positive earnings surprises, but the anticipation of that has lifted markets for months, with little proof that the economy is improving enough to justify those earnings. So the mood is more upbeat, but that hasn't translated to higher stock prices.
seeing
We're seeing a pullback really just from yesterday.
high hit remember seeing selling
We're seeing a little selling today, but I think it's important to remember that we just hit an 18-month high on the Dow, and so we're going to see a little pullback short-term.
early focused holiday january reports season
What we'll be focused on in early January will be more reports on how the holiday season went for retailers.
beyond bond both initial issues morning number rally range remain stock stuck until
The CPI number this morning sparked a rally in both stock and bond markets. But beyond the initial reaction, I think we're going to remain stuck in this range until other issues get resolved.
beyond bond both initial issues morning number rally range remain stock stuck until
The CPI number this morning sparked a rally in both stock and bond markets, ... But beyond the initial reaction, I think we're going to remain stuck in this range until other issues get resolved.
events issue market oil seems today
Overall, the issue for the market right now is oil. Today it seems to be about the events in Nigeria, but with oil it's been just one issue after another lately.