Timothy Ghriskey
Timothy Ghriskey
bit earnings economy higher improving justify lifted markets mood positive proof stock summer translated
We're into a bit of the summer doldrums. There have been a lot of positive earnings surprises, but the anticipation of that has lifted markets for months, with little proof that the economy is improving enough to justify those earnings. So the mood is more upbeat, but that hasn't translated to higher stock prices.
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I think the August Fed meeting is a big overhang. And certainly the direction from that meeting will influence where the market goes. We could get into a bit of a summer doldrums here with August looming, from vacation time and all of that,
good numbers saw
We saw some good numbers come out of GE and UTX, which bodes well for the economy, but I think we're still in this correction.
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These earnings really give analysts confidence that this company and the industry and the metal are well on the road to recovery and the outlook remains strong.
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The waters remain very muddy in terms of the economy. Friday's payrolls report made the case that the economy still has some life to it, but it's not clear yet whether the slowdown in March was temporary.
case clear economy life march muddy remain report terms waters whether
The waters remain very muddy in terms of the economy, ... Friday's payrolls report made the case that the economy still has some life to it, but it's not clear yet whether the slowdown in March was temporary.
coming continue earnings economic estimates fourth increase longer reports seeing selling start strong support
Earnings have been coming in by-and-large at better-than-expected levels. But a lot of that has been priced in, and so you're seeing some selling on the news. But the profit-taking is short-term. Longer term, we should continue to see strong economic reports that support the rally, and we should start to see analysts' estimates increase for the fourth quarter.
continue economy gains period saw stock strong support
Even if GDP is strong tomorrow, even better than the 6.0 consensus, you may not see a big stock reaction, ... As you saw yesterday, we're in a period where the economy should continue to support the stock gains going forward.
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The talk is that the Fed is going to be getting more aggressive soon, and may start raising rates by 50 basis points at a time. It's not going to happen this time, because (Fed Chairman) Alan Greenspan knows he needs to prepare the market for this in advance.
book certainly economic looked next numbers report
CPI is certainly the big economic report of next week. The Fed's beige book and some of the manufacturing numbers will be looked at as well.
continue earnings few negative news number people positive potential sell short stock strong support
There have been few negative pre-announcements and a number of positive ones. Third-quarter earnings should be strong and that should continue to support the stock market. But there will always be pullbacks and volatility. There's always the potential for people to sell the news and you may see that in the short term.
continue earnings few negative news number people positive potential sell short stock strong support
There have been few negative pre-announcements and a number of positive ones, ... Third-quarter earnings should be strong and that should continue to support the stock market. But there will always be pullbacks and volatility. There's always the potential for people to sell the news and you may see that in the short term.
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We really think we're seeing a bottoming in the market. We think the issues really have been dealt with that caused the real collapse of the market. We think we're in a bottoming process that can last a while -- we think the last leg of it is resolution of the Iraq conflict.
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We really think we're seeing a bottoming in the market, ... We think the issues really have been dealt with that caused the real collapse of the market. We think we're in a bottoming process that can last a while -- we think the last leg of it is resolution of the Iraq conflict.