Jason Schenker
Jason Schenker
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Massive inventory declines in crude oil are part of a three-month trend, heating oil prices continue their relentless rise, and the supply disruption premium is in full effect. This may only be the beginning; the winter oil bull run has begun.
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The government's offer of barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve has mitigated some of the upward price pressure on crude oil. The problems with gasoline and natural gas may not be helped even if the SPR is tapped. If refineries are offline and can't run the extra oil, it will make no difference.
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With gasoline futures at records a nationwide average of $3 at the pump is likely in the near-term.
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The service sector performed well, with new orders rising, prices declining and employment inching up.
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The stock market is reacting to the strong earnings reports we've seen earlier today. But sooner or later, companies may have to start passing through the increase in energy costs or be hurt by it.
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The sky isn't falling, just new non-defense aircraft orders.
appear inflation pressures
Is inflation dead? Not yet. If this moderating of inflationary pressures were to appear in the other reports, it could bode well for the economy.
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The worst possible outcome for the stock market is that it takes a month to decide the election,
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The saber-rattling on both sides of the table has led to some pricing in of risk, but it's quite conceivable we could see prices go back to $60, even the high $50s, if this dispute reaches a resolution or even a stalemate.
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Energy shares took a hit today as crude prices eased. The drag in energy shares, combined with end-of-year low volume, is bringing volatility to the stock markets.
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Prices went a lot higher than most of us expected a year ago. The factors that caused prices to surge aren't likely to go away next year. The volatility of the market may even increase.
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Prices are being held up by worries about gasoline.
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People are waiting for the shoe to drop. Which shoe it is doesn't matter. They just want it to be done.
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The tangible, physical disruption of Nigerian supply has propped up prices over the past few weeks.