Hugh Johnson
Hugh Johnson
Hugh Johnson OBEis a British author and expert on wine. He is considered the world's best-selling wine writer. His 1961 tasting of a bottle of 1540 Steinwein from the German vineyard Würzburger Stein is considered to potentially be one of the oldest wines to have ever been tasted...
ProfessionNon-Fiction Author
Date of Birth10 March 1939
driving federal good inflation interest market problem raise reserve theme underlying
The underlying theme that's been driving the market is that inflation is a problem and the Federal Reserve is going to raise interest rates, and that's not good news.
impressive last meet ongoing percent production ramp seen strong truth year
The truth is with Harley-Davidson, like a lot of other companies, like Wal-Mart and Target, we've seen ongoing, strong demand, ... Harley-Davidson's production has had to ramp up 15 percent per year for the last 10 years. That's pretty impressive and it's all been done to meet that ongoing demand.
comments conclude decline fairly fed however interest led meeting oil raise rates upbeat
The combination of a decline in oil prices, however slight, and some fairly upbeat comments (by Fed officials), may have led Fed watchers to conclude the Fed may raise interest rates at its meeting in May, and then stop.
clearly focus
The focus is clearly on earnings, that's what it's really all about.
absolutely fed focus help inflation interest manage market order shift small
The focus has been on earnings, and when you get something like Aetna, then that's going to help the market. But one of these days, that focus is going to shift to inflation and interest rates. And the Fed is going to have to get it absolutely right in order for this market to manage even small gains.
catch closer darn earnings market needs stayed until wait year
The market needs to let earnings catch up -- wait until we get closer to the year 2000, when we can feel comfortable that the market is not overvalued. If the market stayed the same while earnings rose, then price-earnings ratios would be so darn high.
continue federal housing interest knows low market policy possibly raise rates reserve starts worried
The market is worried that the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates well into 2006 and possibly make a policy mistake. If you look at housing starts they're very strong. Everyone knows the unemployment rate is low and the Fed is uncomfortable with that.
ahead lies markets moving reasonably reflect
The markets are moving to more reasonably reflect expectations for what lies ahead in 2005.
cuts investors markets nervous president tax
The markets are getting a little nervous . On balance, investors want to see this president and the tax cuts preserved.
basic cheap main materials reason stocks
The main reason that Alcoa is cheap is that all of the stocks in basic materials are cheap,
interest market responding rises
The market is not doing well. At long last, it is doing what it should do in responding to the rises in interest rates.
asking corporate economy everybody fourth given great last market message oil profits quarter week
The market is asking the question, given oil prices, given rates, given China's economy and other things, what does it look like for the economy and corporate profits in the fourth quarter and in 2005? The message we got last week was that it's probably not going to be as great as everybody once expected, but it will still be just fine.
including market rational stock tells
The market does have a valuation problem. But I don't put much stock in any valuation model, including my own. It's very rational -- it tells you when the stock market is overvalued or undervalued -- but it doesn't work.
including market rational stock tells
The market does have a valuation problem, ... But I don't put much stock in any valuation model, including my own. It's very rational -- it tells you when the stock market is overvalued or undervalued -- but it doesn't work.