Barry Hyman
Barry Hyman
brings catalyst earnings economic good growth inflation marked market moving needs next point sector until week worrying
There's going to be this flip-flop next week and continually until we get through earnings season, going from earnings to worrying about the economic slowdown and what inflation brings so I think next week is going to be marked by that. We're getting to the point where the market needs good earnings. It needs to have a catalyst to get the growth sector moving again.
abandoning companies count economic estimates half happening looking match missed people point reality second wrong
I think people are just abandoning technology, especially when you can't count on a 'Nokia' that hasn't missed (expectations) in years. The point is that there's nothing wrong with these companies - what's wrong is that analysts were not looking at the second half of the year. What's happening now is estimates are going to come down to match the reality of the economic situation.
appear break economy fed good impact measure percent picking point raising rate start
We think 3.5 percent is a good point for the Fed to take a break to measure the economy and the impact of its rate hikes. If the economy does appear to be picking up, they could start raising again.
commentary increase point waiting worrying
It's not the quarter-percentage point increase that is worrying people. We are all waiting to see if the commentary will point to one, two or more interest-rate increases.
maintain market percentage point quarter whether wire
I think we're going to go down to the wire whether or not it's a half-percentage point (increase). If you want to maintain market stability, a quarter percentage point could keep the market at bay.
again basis buy coming concept dominate interest people points rate season weakness
I think there are going to be opportunities to buy the weakness because I think the pre-release season will dominate again ? I don't think there's going to be a significant drop, though. There are a lot of people who buy the concept that 250 basis points (in interest rate cuts) with more coming is going to help.
coming concern cyclical entering few good issue next opportunity pointed quickly rally rest run sector somewhere weeks worry year
Our look for the rest of the year is we're going to rally and worry. We're going to rally and worry some more. And we're going to rally again. I think the concern or the 'worry period' that we're now entering is this cyclical issue again, after this run up in the semiconductors sector and the third-quarter prerelease season, which we're quickly coming to. And I think that's going to give the opportunity for the next run up in the marketplace, which should come somewhere over the next few weeks into the election. The good news, as you pointed out, is that the Fed's done,
basis coming economy economy-and-economics ending great growth hike impact interest last point rate sell slowing stocks technology time weak
The economy is already slowing down without the impact of that 50 basis point hike last month, and I think what you have to look at here is the ending of the interest rate cycle. The growth stocks are technology stocks. And at this time it's a very seasonal thing as well. We are coming to the end of the quarter, so you are going to just get the great stock into the portfolios and sell the weak ones.
basis built driven eyes fed market meeting points sell turned
All eyes will be turned to the Fed. The market will be driven in and around the Fed meeting ? it could be a sell on the story because 50 basis points (a half-percentage point) is already built into the market.
band break extremely few last narrow stuck
We've been stuck in an extremely narrow band for the last few weeks, and this could break us out.
close curve deal extremely federal high hope market meeting next note rally recession reserve slowing until worried yield
It was unanimous we'd have a year-end rally until the yield curve inverted. We wanted to close the market on a high note this year, but now we're worried that the 2006 market will have to deal with this. The next Federal Reserve meeting will be extremely critical. We have to hope this isn't predictive of a recession or a slowing economy.
positive provide typical
It was a little better than a typical September, but it didn't provide any big positive surprises.
businesses collapsed investor losing tech
These companies' businesses haven't collapsed like tech companies' did. But they've withered and they're losing their reputations and their investor bases.
case closer concerns euro good help hope problem relieved resolved sign stocks today whatever
The stocks that are up today are euro-based. Let's hope we can make the case that the euro problem is closer to (being) resolved than before and that's a good sign today. Whatever overhanging concerns can be relieved will help the market.