Timothy Ghriskey
Timothy Ghriskey
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We really think we're seeing a bottoming in the market. We think the issues really have been dealt with that caused the real collapse of the market. We think we're in a bottoming process that can last a while -- we think the last leg of it is resolution of the Iraq conflict.
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We really think we're seeing a bottoming in the market, ... We think the issues really have been dealt with that caused the real collapse of the market. We think we're in a bottoming process that can last a while -- we think the last leg of it is resolution of the Iraq conflict.
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We've had some not-great earnings news, such as GM. But to us, the biggest issue remains oil. Crude up at these levels is a concern for the consumer and for corporations on a global level.
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The two issues regarding rates that have been in front of the markets for weeks have been 'when will rates rise, and by how much?,'
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The CPI number this morning sparked a rally in both stock and bond markets. But beyond the initial reaction, I think we're going to remain stuck in this range until other issues get resolved.
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The CPI number this morning sparked a rally in both stock and bond markets, ... But beyond the initial reaction, I think we're going to remain stuck in this range until other issues get resolved.
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Overall, the issue for the market right now is oil. Today it seems to be about the events in Nigeria, but with oil it's been just one issue after another lately.
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The issues that have captured investors' attention over the last few weeks have cooled down, but they're still there. We don't think the market is in a dire situation, but we don't think we're in anything other than a trading range.
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I just think there's nothing that's come out over the last couple of days that counters the primary issues (that) the market has been punished for over the last couple of months, which is loss of investor confidence over corporate malfeasance, accounting and terrorism,
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We saw some good numbers come out of GE and UTX, which bodes well for the economy, but I think we're still in this correction.
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These earnings really give analysts confidence that this company and the industry and the metal are well on the road to recovery and the outlook remains strong.
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The waters remain very muddy in terms of the economy. Friday's payrolls report made the case that the economy still has some life to it, but it's not clear yet whether the slowdown in March was temporary.
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The waters remain very muddy in terms of the economy, ... Friday's payrolls report made the case that the economy still has some life to it, but it's not clear yet whether the slowdown in March was temporary.
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Earnings have been coming in by-and-large at better-than-expected levels. But a lot of that has been priced in, and so you're seeing some selling on the news. But the profit-taking is short-term. Longer term, we should continue to see strong economic reports that support the rally, and we should start to see analysts' estimates increase for the fourth quarter.