Timothy Ghriskey
Timothy Ghriskey
aggressive alan basis fed greenspan happen knows market needs points prepare raising rates start talk
The talk is that the Fed is going to be getting more aggressive soon, and may start raising rates by 50 basis points at a time. It's not going to happen this time, because (Fed Chairman) Alan Greenspan knows he needs to prepare the market for this in advance.
fed levels point wind
We do have the wind of the Fed at our back. At some point this downturn we're in levels out.
becoming comments dropped fed hikes language late maybe pointing rate speeches word
But the language in the Fed comments and in Greenspan's speeches of late has been pointing to rate hikes becoming more aggressive, ... The word 'measured' is going to be dropped soon, maybe at this meeting, maybe at the next.
belief benign closer data fed helped inflation market
The benign inflation data and the belief that the Fed may be closer to the end than had previously been thought has helped the market this week.
economy far fed grind inflation investment raise saying slow worry
They are saying the economy is going to slow and that there's no inflation but that we still need to raise rates. Investment professionals worry that the Fed will go too far and grind the economy into a recession.
continues fed goes inflation influence oil
Oil continues to be a big influence on the market, and the Fed is as well. As inflation goes, so goes the Fed.
august bit certainly direction fed influence market meeting summer time vacation
I think the August Fed meeting is a big overhang. And certainly the direction from that meeting will influence where the market goes. We could get into a bit of a summer doldrums here with August looming, from vacation time and all of that,
although fear federal forward inflation might months next numbers people reserve week worrying
The fear that's out there is forward looking, with people worrying about inflation and what the Federal Reserve might do in the months ahead. So the numbers next week won't help, although we do get a lot of earnings, which is good.
good numbers saw
We saw some good numbers come out of GE and UTX, which bodes well for the economy, but I think we're still in this correction.
company confidence earnings industry metal outlook recovery remains road
These earnings really give analysts confidence that this company and the industry and the metal are well on the road to recovery and the outlook remains strong.
case clear economy life march muddy remain report terms waters whether
The waters remain very muddy in terms of the economy. Friday's payrolls report made the case that the economy still has some life to it, but it's not clear yet whether the slowdown in March was temporary.
case clear economy life march muddy remain report terms waters whether
The waters remain very muddy in terms of the economy, ... Friday's payrolls report made the case that the economy still has some life to it, but it's not clear yet whether the slowdown in March was temporary.
coming continue earnings economic estimates fourth increase longer reports seeing selling start strong support
Earnings have been coming in by-and-large at better-than-expected levels. But a lot of that has been priced in, and so you're seeing some selling on the news. But the profit-taking is short-term. Longer term, we should continue to see strong economic reports that support the rally, and we should start to see analysts' estimates increase for the fourth quarter.
continue economy gains period saw stock strong support
Even if GDP is strong tomorrow, even better than the 6.0 consensus, you may not see a big stock reaction, ... As you saw yesterday, we're in a period where the economy should continue to support the stock gains going forward.