Sherry Cooper
Sherry Cooper
Sherry S. Cooperis a Canadian-American economist. Cooper is currently Chief Economist for Dominion Lending Centres. She was Executive Vice-President and Chief Economist of BMO Financial Group, with responsibilities for economic forecasting and risk assessment. She comments regularly in the press on financial issues...
eventually hike last likely next rate remain unwind view work
We remain of the view that next week's rate hike will not be the Fed's last work this cycle. Indeed, they will likely eventually unwind all of last fall's crisis-induced easing.
commodity hike prices rate scales tips
Right now, the acceleration in commodity prices tips the scales for a 16th and a 17th rate hike by the Fed.
assessment diminish dual following hikes inflation looking market meeting open passing rate recall risk
Recall the Fed's assessment following the (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting on Aug. 24, that the dual summertime rate hikes 'should markedly diminish the risk of inflation going forward,' ... This call is looking more tenuous with every passing day.
activity becoming beginning bite evident higher housing impact interest pushed rates result sign start weakness
It is becoming more evident that higher interest rates are beginning to take a bite out of the red-hot housing market, ... While today's housing start result exaggerated weakness in the sector, it is yet another sign that the impact of higher rates has pushed housing activity off its peak.
bit comfort employment hot low quite rate remains running trend underlying wages
Wages are still running a bit hot for comfort, the jobless rate is still quite low and the underlying trend in employment (especially full-time) remains strong.
certainly employment growth rate second though
Today's US employment report, though not a blockbuster, certainly portends at least a 3% growth rate in the second quarter.
annual bound bring christmas consumer growth likely might nearly next pace percent rate season spending year
The Christmas season this year might well bring cheer, but consumption growth next year is bound to slow, ... From an annual pace of nearly 4.0 percent in 2004, consumer spending will likely grow at a 3.5 percent rate this year, decelerating to a 2.25 percent pace in 2006.
age-and-aging average birth increase population rates
Birth rates would plunge and the average age of the population would increase significantly.
attention cent despite fed growth job pay per pickup rate slack slowing wage
Despite slowing job growth momentum, the Fed is going to pay attention to the diminishing slack (the 5 per cent unemployment rate could be as low as 4.8 per cent if not for the hurricanes) and the pickup in wage pressures,
cent continue fed feels funds likely moved neutral overnight per policy raise rates until
My take is that the Fed will continue to raise overnight rates until it feels it has moved from a stimulative to a neutral policy stance. That will likely take the funds rate to 4 per cent-to-4.25 per cent by yearend.
appears basis believes hike odds point rate
Right now, it appears that the (Fed) believes that the odds are better than 50-50 that another 25 basis point rate hike will be warranted.
bank canada hike likely next rate track
(Today's data) will likely keep the Bank of Canada on track for a rate hike at next week's decision,
change inflation low months outlook rates report view
This report will not change the Fed's view on the inflation outlook -- they will keep rates low for still some months to come.
asset cause easy ended fed inflation interest per raise rates worried
I'm not worried about inflation per se ; I'm worried about inflation in asset prices. When the Fed has been aggressively easy in the past, it's ended up having to come in and aggressively raise interest rates and cause a lot of unnecessary dislocation.