Sherry Cooper
Sherry Cooper
Sherry S. Cooperis a Canadian-American economist. Cooper is currently Chief Economist for Dominion Lending Centres. She was Executive Vice-President and Chief Economist of BMO Financial Group, with responsibilities for economic forecasting and risk assessment. She comments regularly in the press on financial issues...
ahead deficit domestic drive further given higher imports likely months oil prices trade widening
Further widening in the trade deficit in the months ahead is very likely given that the surge in oil prices will drive imports higher and that there has been no let-up in the domestic economy.
cent continue fed feels funds likely moved neutral overnight per policy raise rates until
My take is that the Fed will continue to raise overnight rates until it feels it has moved from a stimulative to a neutral policy stance. That will likely take the funds rate to 4 per cent-to-4.25 per cent by yearend.
bank distant divert focus gradual inflation likely rising seems threat wage
The bank's new focus is likely to be on rising wage pressures, but that still seems a distant inflation threat at this point. On balance, there is nothing here to divert the bank from its gradual tightening course.
eventually hike last likely next rate remain unwind view work
We remain of the view that next week's rate hike will not be the Fed's last work this cycle. Indeed, they will likely eventually unwind all of last fall's crisis-induced easing.
bank canada hike likely next rate track
(Today's data) will likely keep the Bank of Canada on track for a rate hike at next week's decision,
core energy fed high hike inflation likely march mild months prices rate remain risks skewed track
High energy prices keep on working their way through the system. The risks remain skewed to a mild up-creep in core inflation during the months ahead, which will keep the Fed on track for another rate hike in March and likely in May.
armed commodity concern emerge heading inflation likely pressure prices rising weaker
Armed with the weaker U.S. dollar, commodity prices heading north, and a strengthening economy, rising inflation pressure is still likely to emerge as a concern for the Fed. But not yet. Not yet.
annual bound bring christmas consumer growth likely might nearly next pace percent rate season spending year
The Christmas season this year might well bring cheer, but consumption growth next year is bound to slow, ... From an annual pace of nearly 4.0 percent in 2004, consumer spending will likely grow at a 3.5 percent rate this year, decelerating to a 2.25 percent pace in 2006.
chair fed shift
The shift in the Fed chair will be seamless,
economic predicting risky
Predicting the long-awaited U.S. economic slowdown can be a risky business,
age-and-aging average birth increase population rates
Birth rates would plunge and the average age of the population would increase significantly.
benefits consumers continue feeling good higher income jobs propel record reflect showing signs slowing spending
U.S. consumers are feeling the benefits of higher incomes and are spending more to reflect their good moods, ... Buoyed by record confidence, income growth, and a super-tight jobs market, the consumer is showing no signs of slowing and should continue to propel the U.S. economy.
buying opportunity percent yield
When the 10-year yield got to 4.4 percent Tuesday, I said this was probably a short-term buying opportunity and that we would see some correction.
data easing fed financial further stuff sure trends whispers
While we would not get too excited, these data are just the right stuff to further trends already under way in financial markets. Whispers about Fed easing are sure to follow.