Oscar Gonzalez
Oscar Gonzalez
along begin business consumers continue economy falter few fuel gear higher later next shift spending sustain worry
Consumers will continue to spend, and that will keep the economy chugging along for the next few months. But without some help, I worry that consumers could begin to falter later in the year. We need more business spending to fuel the economy's shift into a higher gear and sustain the recovery.
albeit continued drowning economy january kept leading
Consumers, who have kept the economy from drowning during this recession, continued to spend, albeit cautiously, in January and may be leading the way to recovery.
continue door easing economy expect fed open pressures since
Since the economy is softening, I expect inflationary pressures to subside. The door is still open for the Fed to continue easing rates, as necessary.
again avoiding continue economy economy-and-economics fed grow improving less likely move reports retail sales seem strong suggest
Strong but moderating retail sales and improving productivity suggest an economy that should continue to grow while avoiding overheating, ... The reports would seem to make it less likely that the Fed will need to move again this year.
continue economic economy expect fact improve jobs rest suggest
Jobs are a lagging indicator, and other economic indicators suggest the economy is in fact on the mend. We still expect it will continue to improve through the rest of the year.
energy prices rising stopped worst
Energy prices stopped rising in July, and so did the PPI. So the worst may be over.
energy prices rising stopped worst
Energy prices stopped rising in July, and so did the PPI, ... So the worst may be over.
alert fed future high numbers though
Even though the numbers are soothing, the Fed still is on high alert for a future flare-up in prices,
easing fed leave policies possibly recent reverse slowing start tight trend wanting
Continuation of a slowing trend is likely, and it could put the Fed in a pretty tight spot, because it could leave it wanting to possibly reverse its recent policies and start easing rates.
anytime canyon expectation gap reasonable trade
The trade gap is a canyon and I see no reasonable expectation of it narrowing anytime soon.
building dismiss figures growing pace pressures prices prove remains risks sudden trend
The trend is now clear. Inflationary pressures are building and prices are rising; only the pace remains at issue. September's figures may prove to be just a spike, but we can't dismiss the growing risks of a sudden acceleration in inflation.
ancient certainly economy emerging federal figures inflation last might reflect reserve rising simply six suggest terms worrying
Today's figures simply reflect an economy still emerging from a recession; there's certainly nothing here to suggest inflation rising from the ashes. In terms of impact, it might as well be ancient history, especially now. The Federal Reserve is back to worrying about where inflation will be in six months, not where it was last month.
biggest blow consumers crushing decline employment factor growth job october report rise sharp shows single
If, as expected, the October employment report shows a sharp rise in unemployment and a sharp decline in job growth, it could be a crushing blow to confidence. Having a job is probably the single biggest factor in consumers having confidence.
control data err fed inflation keeping price recent side whether worry
I don't think recent price data suggests that inflation is dead. The Fed has to worry about whether or not it is keeping inflation under control and it would probably like to err on the side of caution.