Nariman Behravesh
Nariman Behravesh
Nariman Behravesh is Chief Economist at the consulting firm IHS Inc. and author of Spin-Free Economics: A No-Nonsense, Nonpartisan Guide to Today's Global Economic Debates. Directing the entire economic forecasting process at IHS, he is responsible for developing the economic outlook and risk analysis for the United States, Europe, Japan, China and other emerging markets. He oversees the work of over 400 professionals, located in North America, Europe, Asia, Latin America, the Middle East and Africa who cover economic, financial...
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I think the way out of these deficits is that the U.S. currency will start to come down over the next two to three years.
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His willingness to change is important in a world that changes rapidly.
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From lawn services to meat packing, you name it. The primary benefit to consumers from illegal workers is lower prices.
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Bush has probably made the best choice among the top contenders for the post and one that is likely to reassure financial markets.
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His academic work on inflation targeting will be of great comfort to many market analysts and investors who are beginning to fret about inflation,
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Because the economy is strong and job growth is strong, the consumer has not felt much pain, but that is likely to change in the next few months, ... I think we are headed for a period of economic weakness mostly related to the oil situation.
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All housing indicators point to a slowdown that is in full swing: falling home sales, rising inventories, and now falling starts and permits.
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The U.K. tried to cool off the housing market and slow their economy a bit, and they're caught in a situation where the economy is slowing but inflation isn't mostly because of oil prices, ... It's a bit of a dilemma, and that's reflected in their split vote.
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The typical pattern with a natural disaster like this is that the regional economy gets clobbered but you can barely see it in the national statistics. This time it is very different because of the impact on the energy infrastructure.
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These inflation concerns point to more rather than less tightening by the Fed in coming months.
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These high energy prices are beginning to spill over into the rest of the economy. Finally, airlines are able to raise ticket prices and hotels are able to raise room rates and on and on.
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A lot will depend on how weak housing gets, in terms of whether we go into a real soft patch or not. That's the key here.
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The economy is on a somewhat stronger growth trajectory.
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The G-7 is quite impotent on oil. They can say what they want, but they won't have a lot of effect on prices.