John Davidson
John Davidson
businesses capital evidence hiring point rising seen spending
What we've seen has really been priced into the market. At this point we need to see evidence of rising spending on capital and businesses hiring employees.
affect discipline gold helped maybe players price seeing seen support
You've seen how OPEC has had some discipline, and that's helped to support the price of oil, and maybe the gold players are seeing that if they use some discipline as well that that may also affect the gold price and their business.
follow fully initial jobs numbers people positions positive report seen short suspect
I suspect people have started to recalculate their positions going into the jobs report and they don't want to be short -- they want to be fully invested. If the numbers really follow what we've seen for the initial jobless claims, it could be positive for the market.
falling oil price rise risk seen taken
Some of that risk has been taken off the table. That can be seen in the falling price of oil and a rise in equities.
belief bouncing claims few fully market morning next number pick rally reflected seeing seen start weekly
The market has now fully reflected its belief in a second-half pick up, but for the kind of rally we've seen to continue, you're going to need to start seeing evidence. The weekly jobless claims number this morning is a start, but it's not enough. We could be bouncing around in the next few weeks.
building companies energy expected expense good group hit key last negative number reported talked week
I've talked about Key Energy Group for a while, and Capstone is one of the companies that's building these micro turbines that I think actually just reported last week and had a more negative number than expected because they've ramped up some of their production, As a result, that hit their expense line, ... But I think that's a good idea going forward.
bit earnings energy mean season starting
Energy's off a little bit today, but it doesn't mean that energy is going back down. We're starting into an earnings season and earnings will start to have an effect.
continue earnings mean multiple rates rising strong worry
Earnings have been strong and will continue to be strong, but there's a worry that rising rates will mean the multiple on the earnings will be less.
hearing offered players point starting
Salaries are going to come down. I'm hearing the players have already offered a 5 percent give-back, so that's the starting point for negotiations.
betting certain early higher investors likely march month months next prior rates release rise seems throwing towel until
Even just a month ago, prior to the release of the March payrolls number, there were some investors betting that rates wouldn't rise until early next year. Now, after two months of higher payrolls, it seems likely rates are set to rise, and so there's a certain throwing in of the towel for some investors.
ahead bring chance effort extra few forget gretzky heck players table team thinks win
Don't forget about the Gretzky factor, ... Don't underestimate him. He may take this team and give them a heck of a chance to get in. He'll bring something to the table that will make players give that extra effort that may win them a few games. He thinks way ahead of most people.
might next week
CPI and PPI next week could be a little light, so that might get some attention,
both series
You look at every series on both sides, this is great. I don't see a series that's going to be four-and-out.
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