John Davidson
John Davidson
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I think I'm probably in the minority that thinks that Greenspan may raise rates on Tuesday. I think the real case is a fact that the labor market is really tight and commodity prices have really increased.
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People I know purchased the St. Louis Blues. It's a purchase in principle. They don't own the team yet. The sale has to be ratified by the league. For me to speculate what I might do with the St. Louis Blues, well, they don't even own the team yet. I don't have anything to tell anybody.
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Some of that risk has been taken off the table. That can be seen in the falling price of oil and a rise in equities.
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The assassination of his character, to me, is absolutely ludicrous. There's no question in my mind, if there's a person in the world of hockey that deserves the benefit of the doubt in a situation such as this, it's Wayne Gretzky.
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That's what high school sports are all about -- you want your guys to be in a situation where they can remember those last-second victories. It's kind of like hitting a home run in the bottom of the ninth. You live for those moments.
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Largely people are taking a look at historic information. They're looking at earnings and job cuts, and people are concerned. I think we're going to grind it out until earnings come back.
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I think that the home sales and consumer confidence reflect continued strength in housing.
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I think we'll close the year in positive territory. But in the next few weeks you're going to see the market in a continued struggle back and forth with people trying to determine whether we have a full economic recovery, even with the labor market struggling.
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I think we have continued volatility until we really see signs of growth in the economy slowing. When we see the economy slowing, I think that people will be more comfortable with the fact that maybe Greenspan is not going to have to continue to raise rates, then I think the market can move ahead.
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I think that overall we are in for a pretty good earnings quarter, and that may be a positive for stocks.
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I think we will have a positive year.
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I think what's going to be key going forward will be the tradeoff (in the economic news) between the statistics on employment and statistics on inflation.
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I think what you're seeing today and over the past week is a good indicator of where the market is right now and will likely be through the end of the year.
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I think Bush's comments are having an impact as there are a lot of questions about how and when and who should deal with Iraq. But in the short term, the jobless claims and the comments from Greenspan have a bigger impact.