John Davidson
John Davidson
case commodity fact greenspan labor market minority prices raise rates thinks tight
I think I'm probably in the minority that thinks that Greenspan may raise rates on Tuesday. I think the real case is a fact that the labor market is really tight and commodity prices have really increased.
chairman claims greenspan keeps lowering number task terms today turnaround
To get a real turnaround you need to have a turnaround in earnings. The jobless claims number today probably keeps (Fed Chairman Alan) Greenspan on task in terms of lowering rates.
changed companies earnings good greenspan growth mostly rather reporting seeing showing start suggested verge
This has been a pretty good start to the earnings reporting period, with about two-thirds of the companies topping estimates, but I don't think anything's really changed yet, ... Greenspan suggested that we may be on the verge of a growth period, which would be significant for earnings, because mostly what you're seeing now are companies showing improvements on cost-cutting, rather than real growth.
continued economy fact greenspan growth market maybe move people raise signs until volatility
I think we have continued volatility until we really see signs of growth in the economy slowing. When we see the economy slowing, I think that people will be more comfortable with the fact that maybe Greenspan is not going to have to continue to raise rates, then I think the market can move ahead.
bigger claims comments deal greenspan impact questions short
I think Bush's comments are having an impact as there are a lot of questions about how and when and who should deal with Iraq. But in the short term, the jobless claims and the comments from Greenspan have a bigger impact.
aggressive announced clear current cut economy economy-and-economics greenspan help hoping investors meeting rate state talked
Greenspan talked very little about the current state of the economy and was really admonishing lawmakers, and he made it very clear that there will be no interest-rate cut announced after the meeting on Sept. 24. I think this may have disappointed some investors hoping for a rate cut or something more aggressive to help stocks.
building companies energy expected expense good group hit key last negative number reported talked week
I've talked about Key Energy Group for a while, and Capstone is one of the companies that's building these micro turbines that I think actually just reported last week and had a more negative number than expected because they've ramped up some of their production, As a result, that hit their expense line, ... But I think that's a good idea going forward.
bit earnings energy mean season starting
Energy's off a little bit today, but it doesn't mean that energy is going back down. We're starting into an earnings season and earnings will start to have an effect.
continue earnings mean multiple rates rising strong worry
Earnings have been strong and will continue to be strong, but there's a worry that rising rates will mean the multiple on the earnings will be less.
hearing offered players point starting
Salaries are going to come down. I'm hearing the players have already offered a 5 percent give-back, so that's the starting point for negotiations.
betting certain early higher investors likely march month months next prior rates release rise seems throwing towel until
Even just a month ago, prior to the release of the March payrolls number, there were some investors betting that rates wouldn't rise until early next year. Now, after two months of higher payrolls, it seems likely rates are set to rise, and so there's a certain throwing in of the towel for some investors.
ahead bring chance effort extra few forget gretzky heck players table team thinks win
Don't forget about the Gretzky factor, ... Don't underestimate him. He may take this team and give them a heck of a chance to get in. He'll bring something to the table that will make players give that extra effort that may win them a few games. He thinks way ahead of most people.
might next week
CPI and PPI next week could be a little light, so that might get some attention,
both series
You look at every series on both sides, this is great. I don't see a series that's going to be four-and-out.