John Davidson
John Davidson
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What's limiting us on the upside is the double-digit gains we saw in 2003. What limits us to the downside is that the economy continues to strengthen, although concerns about the job market persist.
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The ongoing issues are the strength of the economy and whether or not the pace of the recovery is in fact slowing down. One of the important things this week will be to see the extent of the damage.
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I think we have continued volatility until we really see signs of growth in the economy slowing. When we see the economy slowing, I think that people will be more comfortable with the fact that maybe Greenspan is not going to have to continue to raise rates, then I think the market can move ahead.
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The belief has been that if the economy is recovering and corporate profits are improving, equity markets will fall in line eventually,
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Despite the decline, the ISM report was very positive, and what you can take away from it is that the economy is continuing to expand. The question for 2004 is whether that continued expansion has already been reflected in the 25 percent returns you saw in stocks last year.
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He may say something to the effect that the economy remains strong and that they will continue to raise rates.
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Bush needs pretty quickly to turn this economy around. If we languish for the next two years, it'll be the last two years of Bush's presidency.
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Greenspan talked very little about the current state of the economy and was really admonishing lawmakers, and he made it very clear that there will be no interest-rate cut announced after the meeting on Sept. 24. I think this may have disappointed some investors hoping for a rate cut or something more aggressive to help stocks.
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I'm looking for a recovery in the economy in the second half of the year, contingent on a continued aggressive Fed and a tax cut. I see a consumer-led recovery in the second half and that will help give us an earnings boost.
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What they say may have an impact tomorrow, but the dominant topic on investors' minds right now starts with an 'I' and it's not Intel. Both businesses and consumers are hesitant to make any moves until there's progress on Iraq.
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With thirty bob a week to keep a bride / He fell in love and married in his teens: / At thirty bob he stuck; but he knows it isn't luck: / He knows the seas are deeper than tureens.
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With Vice President Cheney saying we need 38,000 more miles, in addition to repairing existing ones, that Key Energy group is a key player there,
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Our special favorite, however, is IKOS, ... because it is coming out with a drug that will be similar to Viagra.
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Physical activity can get you going when you are immobilized. Get action in your life, and don't just talk about it. Get into the arena!