Jason Schenker
Jason Schenker
continued domestic employment fuel further gains gross growth higher home interest mitigate product sales slowing solid strong
Strong continued gross domestic product growth and solid employment gains should fuel further home sales and may mitigate some of the slowing engendered by higher interest rates.
economic general growth jobs looking positive solid
We're looking at some positive expansion, solid growth in jobs and in general economic growth, and that's something we see continuing.
continued economic growth huge inflation likely next week
Next week is a huge week for data, and it is likely to show continued economic growth and inflation well under control.
deficit economic energy gasoline goes growth hard medium national regional retail short wherever
With the year-on-year deficit in gasoline and with economic growth it is hard to be bearish about energy in the short or medium term. The manufacturing and retail numbers, the regional and national numbers, wherever you look they are positive. The same goes for overseas.
critical cut despite disruption energy event growth haunts likely next oil quite seems slower specter supply today unlikely
OPEC is likely to be a critical event next week. A cut in production, however, seems quite unlikely despite slower fourth-quarter U.S. GDP growth out today and a well-supplied market. The specter of oil supply disruption haunts energy markets.
background concern decline economic growth report supplies supporting
Supplies are pretty lush. Once this report is digested we should see a big decline in prices. The geopolitical concern and economic growth are still there in the background supporting prices.
appears bigger capacity concerns excess market question raise tap unlikely
The bigger question is does OPEC have excess capacity that it can tap into in the longer-term, ... It appears they're unlikely to raise their quotas, and that's not going to assuage market concerns about their capacity.
certainly data earnings market piece points report retail sales solid stock weeks
The retail sales report was the most significant piece of data we had in weeks and that certainly had the stock market going. It points to a solid first quarter, with earnings growth.
due energy following higher last next risk suit upside week
After the PPI bounced last week due to higher energy costs, there is a big risk of the CPI following suit next week. There is significant upside risk there.
crude further nuclear price push situation
A further deterioration of the situation in Nigeria, or escalation of nuclear brinkmanship with the Iranians, could push the (New York) price of crude further to 70 dollars.
economy implicitly imply indicate industrial levels likely orders remain sector strong
Strong levels of unfilled orders imply a strong U.S. economy and implicitly indicate more manufacturing in the pipelines. Clearly, the industrial sector is likely to remain strong in the near- and medium-term.
economic katrina number resilience robust service shown survey wake
The ISM service survey joins a number of economic indicators that have shown robust economic resilience in the wake of Katrina and Rita,
average gasoline likely pump records
With gasoline futures at records a nationwide average of $3 at the pump is likely in the near-term.
biggest concerns gas government natural refined reserve strategic
There is no strategic government reserve of natural gas or refined products, and right now the biggest concerns in the marketplace are for products.