James Awad
James Awad
economy fact signs
There are some signs that the economy is not getting worse, in fact it is getting better.
basic caused certainly couple earnings factors market maybe next remain until worries
The basic factors that caused the market to go down remain in place, and I think those worries are going to be with us for the next couple of months, ... certainly until we get third-quarter earnings reports, and maybe through the election.
brutally companies company difficult earnings fact goes individual low market misses paid people performance rather stocks tolerance
The vulnerability is in individual stocks rather than in the market, ... Any company that misses its earnings is going to get brutally punished. The market has very low tolerance for companies that miss their earnings, and it goes back to the fact that everybody's paid on performance and it's difficult for people to have a long-term view.
continues economy factory oil orders people seeing strong turned
You would think that with oil so high, we would be seeing some pressure. But I think the strong read on factory orders turned things around, as it reassures people that the economy continues to strengthen.
companies period tech
We're going to go through a period where we find out what tech companies are really what they thought they were and which were hype.
coming housing negative numbers oil positive today worse
The positive today is that oil is coming down, the negative is that the housing numbers are worse than expected.
apparent clearly cost embedded exactly fed gains great growth increases issue itself market mean period profits retail slowing stock strong successful tough troubling volume worrying
I think retail is going to be a very tough place to make money. What's worrying the market now is -- if the Fed is successful in slowing the economy, what does it mean for profits going forward? And that is apparent - that's more clearly an issue in retail than anyplace else. But it is an issue in the market itself that you're going into a period here where profit growth may decelerate; in fact, could flatten out as you have volume gains decelerate in a slowing economy, but cost increases embedded in from the period when you had a strong economy; and that's not exactly a great prescription for profits, and I think that's troubling the stock market,
call
I think what you're in now is what we'll call the
becoming technology
I think what you have in technology is it's becoming a stock-by-stock issue,
bear highs interest market terms unlikely
I think it's unlikely that you'll get a bear market because the fundamentals are too good. On the other hand, you're not going to make new highs in the market as long as we have uncertainty in terms of interest rates,
clearing corporate election increase mergers next percent profits
With the election clearing the deck, I think you'll see more momentum. If you're going to have a 10 percent increase in corporate profits next year, I don't see why you couldn't be up 20 percent (in mergers and acquisitions).
almost analysis dangerous levels market momentum securities
It's been a 'no-brainer' momentum market where securities analysis isn't important, and now you have almost dangerous valuation levels on those stocks,
earnings far period
On balance, the earnings period so far has been very reasonable, even better than expected.
bear break bull
It's not going to make or break a bull or a bear market, but it's a negative.