James Awad
James Awad
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The risk is we are staring down the barrel of negative pre-announcements, so the market has the potential to be disappointed short term.
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The trade deficit has always lurked in the background as a potential negative for stocks, but it was fine (in the past) because the dollar was strong.
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The positive today is that oil is coming down, the negative is that the housing numbers are worse than expected.
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The building blocks of a bear market are not there. It's a correction and it will probably go on for a little bit longer, but I think by the end of April the flood of good corporate earnings reports will overwhelm the negative sentiment that you are getting now.
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I think you're locked in a trading range. The good news is, the consensus for now seems to be that if the Fed's done -- if it's not done, it's very close to being done -- so that relieves the interest rate pressures from the market. And you've ended the negative pre-announcement season. You're going into the regular announcement season, and earnings should be pretty good. And that should support the market,
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The market has done better than I would have thought. You've got some signs that the economy is starting to stabilize -- it looks like the consumer is counteracting the negative effects of the capital spending slowdown in technology.
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The market has done better than I would have thought, ... You've got some signs that the economy is starting to stabilize -- it looks like the consumer is counteracting the negative effects of the capital spending slowdown in technology.
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When all is said and done, third-quarter earnings will probably be good and fourth-quarter forecasts good enough to cool some of the worries about inflationary pressures hurting corporate profits,
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When all is said and done, I think the market will sprint higher toward the end of the year. But it's going to take continued encouraging earnings and economic reports to move it along.
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What's gonna happen here is you're going to see a cat and mouse game between Bush and Iraq for some time. I suspect that a month from now we'll be back to where we were yesterday before the letter came out.
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The stock is cheap, not well followed, and I think it's undervalued, ... The stock currently trades at about $21, and I think it will earn about $2.60 a share for the year.
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The stock is at $24 a share now, down from $50, ... The company is extremely well positioned, the stock could go up 10 points if there is evidence that the economy turns in third quarter.
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There's really nothing you can do about it because you need a parking spot.
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Price-to-earnings ratios are high by historic standards, but the bulls would say that, given low interest rates, they're not too expensive. I think they're generally not convincingly cheap or expensive -- the key is to find individual stocks that are cheap.