James Awad
James Awad
current earnings gains justify powerful turn year
You have to have a powerful earnings turn around this year to justify gains from current levels,
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While there is an economic impact, they are able to grow the company reasonably, ... I would say 10 percent in terms of cash earnings this year, but most other companies in that field have been acquired.
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When all is said and done, third-quarter earnings will probably be good and fourth-quarter forecasts good enough to cool some of the worries about inflationary pressures hurting corporate profits,
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When all is said and done, I think the market will sprint higher toward the end of the year. But it's going to take continued encouraging earnings and economic reports to move it along.
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There are a lot of reasons to worry about corporate earnings because of gasoline, oil, high commodity prices. It's almost like damned if you do, damned if you don't, because you're worried about what these commodities are doing to the economy, yet they're the strongest thing in the market.
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I think you're locked in a trading range. The good news is, the consensus for now seems to be that if the Fed's done -- if it's not done, it's very close to being done -- so that relieves the interest rate pressures from the market. And you've ended the negative pre-announcement season. You're going into the regular announcement season, and earnings should be pretty good. And that should support the market,
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Today is encouraging, but it's not particularly meaningful. We still have a lot of economic and earnings news to get through this week.
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But throw in a very visible company lowering its guidance going forward and the focus shifts back to the same problems of an uncertain economy, uncertain earnings and the Middle East problem, which has not changed,
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On balance, the earnings period so far has been very reasonable, even better than expected.
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The best time in the stock market is when interest rates are low and earnings are poised to grow.
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The basic factors that caused the market to go down remain in place, and I think those worries are going to be with us for the next couple of months, ... certainly until we get third-quarter earnings reports, and maybe through the election.
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The building blocks of a bear market are not there. It's a correction and it will probably go on for a little bit longer, but I think by the end of April the flood of good corporate earnings reports will overwhelm the negative sentiment that you are getting now.
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This is the wakeup call. We're going to go through a test here where we're going to have a period of turbulence in the market as we report second-quarter earnings and get forward-looking guidance for the third quarter.
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This is the wakeup call, ... We're going to go through a test here where we're going to have a period of turbulence in the market as we report second-quarter earnings and get forward-looking guidance for the third quarter.