Douglas Altabef
Douglas Altabef
attention blowing buying coming couple fair few investors last left lousy meeting nervous number paying run seen tremendous trends volatility whistle worth
I think there are a couple trends worth paying attention to. Number one is the re-emergence of financials. We've seen that already over the last few months. They've had a tremendous run but they're coming off such a lousy last year-and-a-half that I think it's fair to say that it hasn't really left the station. But there's a lot of whistle blowing going on. The other one is that investors are very nervous about any kind of whiff of disappointment of not meeting expectations, so there is tremendous short-term volatility going on, and that's a buying opportunity.
attitude bad good half market news tenacious
I think the market is beset with tenacious negativity. It's a 'glass is half empty' attitude in the market, where bad news is interpreted as bad news and any good news is just OK.
market time wanting
I think that there is an upward bias. The market for the first time in a long while is wanting to go up.
expect gains next seeing
I expect we will be seeing those kind of normative gains next year.
among anxiety bad certainly earnings economy good individual season
It actually isn't a bad day -- it's a good day for techs. I think the most important thing is that earnings season is going pretty well. A lot of this is perception, and the economy may not be robust, but it's not sick. There's certainly a lot of anxiety out there among individual investors.
given investors people prospect rally reality telling three today
Three years ago people actually thought that the Dow could go to 36,000 and it did the opposite. It's when people have really given up on the prospect of a real rally that you see a real rally, but try telling that to most investors now. Three years ago there was no reality dose, today there's no perspective.
clearly economy employment fed influenced next potential reflection report surprise
The potential is that there could have been a surprise that could have influenced the Fed next Tuesday, and clearly that hasn't happened. But employment is a lagging indicator. So the report is not a reflection of where the economy is going, but where it's been.
closely decision fed looking matter negative opinions people reaction saying slowly statement
We were going to have a knee-jerk negative reaction to the Fed's decision no matter what, with so many different opinions on what should be done, but I think today, it may be that people are looking more closely at the statement and see it as the Fed saying things are slowly going in the right direction.
broader earnings economic impact news stocks
Today, there isn't any economic news, and the earnings news is having an impact on those stocks but not the broader market.
catch start
Merrill may be more of a tortoise, but they'll start to catch up.
brief continue good last markets moving stock year
You'll see markets continue to do the Cha-Cha, moving higher, but paced by brief retrenchments. It's not going to be as good as last year, but I think 2004 will still be a good year for the stock markets.
argue fairly
Wal-Mart is ? I would argue is a fairly recession-resistant retail.
clearly economy market reacting seeing signs
Clearly you're seeing conflicting signs about the economy and the market reacting to that.
acting great improvement june market resilience seeing
But I think the way the market is acting is actually healthy. You're seeing a real resilience on the part of the market. You're seeing a willingness to shrug off or contextualize not great news, which is a big improvement over June and July, when if the market was open, it was down.