Steven Wood

Steven Wood
Steven Woodwas an Australian sprint canoeist and marathon canoeist who competed in the late 1980s and early 1990s. Competing in two Summer Olympics, he won a bronze medal in the K-4 1000 m event at Barcelona in 1992...
broken employment growth historical level payroll relationship strong
The strong historical relationship between the level of the help-wanted index and the year-on-year growth of payroll employment has broken down completely.
although appears consumers due gains ready retail spending stronger throw
Retail spending was much stronger than anticipated. Although some of these gains were due to post-hurricane spending, it appears that consumers are not yet ready to throw in the towel.
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With still strong domestic demand and improving international demand, the factory sector is continuing to recover from the sluggishness that resulted from the Asian economic crisis.
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There is clear and strong evidence that the factory sector is expanding solidly,
appears capital factory few generate jobs quarter robust solid spending strong third track volumes
Volumes are still strong enough to generate a few new factory jobs amid robust productivity gains. Moreover, capital spending appears to be on track for another solid contribution to third quarter GDP.
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This stronger consumer sentiment may yet translate into solid core consumer spending for the holiday season.
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Although real consumer spending was strong it has slowed for two consecutive quarters and finished Q1 with very little momentum. In order to sustain recent strength in real consumer spending, job creation will need to accelerate further.
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Despite improving international economies, the strong dollar is limiting the expected rebound in exports.
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After adjusting for the storm effects, both initial and continuing claims appear to be near their pre-hurricane levels, indicating that labor markets remain strong despite the weak October payroll employment report.
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Labor markets are very strong and payroll employment should rise by 200,000 or more in February. The Federal Open Market Committee will continue to raise interest rates.
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Labor markets are deteriorating quickly in the wake of the terrorist attacks on September 11. The economy was quite weak before the attacks, which have accelerated the pace of layoffs. As layoffs spiral higher, hiring activity has stopped, giving a strong upward push to joblessness.
add building february inventory investment january likely modestly slightly stronger suggesting
Inventory building is slightly stronger in January and February than it was in 4Q, suggesting that inventory investment is likely to add modestly to Q1 GDP growth,
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Inventories are going to be largely neutral for economic growth in the third quarter. In the fourth quarter, as businesses ramp up production to rebuild inventories, that will mean more hiring, more production and a stronger economic environment.
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The Committee is placing more weight on current data releases and, therefore, less weight on forecasts of economic activity and inflation. What I'm foreseeing is that the Fed is going to keep on tightening due to the economy being stronger in the first half of the year.