Steven Wood
Steven Wood
Steven Woodwas an Australian sprint canoeist and marathon canoeist who competed in the late 1980s and early 1990s. Competing in two Summer Olympics, he won a bronze medal in the K-4 1000 m event at Barcelona in 1992...
activity balance continued declines fed further helped high housing labor last likely markets mortgage rates relatively rising robust sustain
With last week's Fed tightening, mortgage rates have continued to rise, so that further declines in housing activity are likely over the balance of the year. Nevertheless, robust labor markets and rising incomes have helped sustain housing at a relatively high level.
claims continuing further hiring labor last layoffs market pace peak rise surpass taking
Even as the pace of layoffs has ebbed, no new hiring is taking place, so continuing claims will rise even further and surpass their peak in the last recession. Labor market deterioration is continuing with no end in sight.
basis early easily economy given increase interest last march momentum move points raise rates signs slowing unless year
Given the momentum in the economy at the end of last year and in the early part of this year, the FOMC will undoubtedly have to raise interest rates yet again, ... Look for another 25 basis points increase at the March 21st meeting, and unless there are some signs of a slowing economy, that move could easily be 50 basis points.
coming creation further higher increased job last months pace past relationship response retail sales six slower spending stock suggesting tight volatility weakness
Retail sales have slowed over the last six months in response to the slower pace of job creation, higher rates, and increased volatility in the stock market. Indeed, in the past two years there has been tight relationship between the Nasdaq and retail spending, suggesting further spending weakness in coming months.
claims continuing labor last market similar steadily survey weakness week
New claims during the survey week are broadly similar to where they have been for the last two months, when payrolls fell, ... Continuing claims have been ratcheting steadily higher. Labor market weakness remains.
correct cycle last
It confirms that the (Fed) was correct in pausing their tightening cycle at last week's meeting.
although declined economic efforts further growth helping last level mortgage pace past rates relatively sales six slow solid three weakness
Although the level of sales is still relatively high, the solid growth of the past three years has been arrested, helping the Fed's efforts to slow the pace of economic growth. However, mortgage rates have declined over the last six weeks, so further substantial weakness may not be forthcoming.
above although average last likely pace percent return settle
Although productivity is not likely to return to the supercharged pace of last year, it is likely to settle in comfortably above the 1.5 percent average pace during the 20 years before 1995.
activity although clearly correct cycle last momentum report sector
Although manufacturing activity is still expanding, momentum in the manufacturing sector has clearly faded. This report confirms that the FOMC was correct in pausing their tightening cycle at last week's meeting.
bad economic economy forever last point pure
Bad economic times don't last forever and the U.S. economy is very vibrant. But at this point that is just pure forecast.
best coming data deal fed great households inflation last momentum needs news spending year
Clearly, the best news on inflation is past. These data show that households were spending aggressively last year and that there is a great deal of spending momentum coming into 2000. The Fed needs to tighten now, and they will.
attitudes consumers declined economic financial last level modestly optimistic personal remain six
Households' economic attitudes have declined modestly over the last six months, ... But the level suggests consumers remain very optimistic about their personal financial condition.
attacks cuts demand expected factory further impact industries next production reported sector seem terrorist
The Sept. 11 terrorist attacks seem to have had little impact on the factory sector so far. However, many industries have already reported further production cuts as demand has waned. A more substantial contraction is expected next month.
activity demand domestic economic foreign major partners reduced sharp slowing trading
The sharp slowing in domestic demand has dramatically reduced imports. Weakening economic activity in our major trading partners has significantly reduced the foreign demand for American-made products.