Steven Wood
Steven Wood
Steven Woodwas an Australian sprint canoeist and marathon canoeist who competed in the late 1980s and early 1990s. Competing in two Summer Olympics, he won a bronze medal in the K-4 1000 m event at Barcelona in 1992...
activity balance continued declines fed further helped high housing labor last likely markets mortgage rates relatively rising robust sustain
With last week's Fed tightening, mortgage rates have continued to rise, so that further declines in housing activity are likely over the balance of the year. Nevertheless, robust labor markets and rising incomes have helped sustain housing at a relatively high level.
broad data economy indicate labor likely market slowing
These data indicate that the deterioration in the labor market has not been halted. Therefore, the slowing in the broad economy has likely not been halted either.
activity add data economic evidence growing likely
These data add to the growing evidence that economic activity has slowed and that any re-acceleration is likely to be short-lived.
although declines drop few further gradually higher hints likely maximum output period rate ratio sales weakness
There are a few tentative hints -- higher new orders, a drop in the inventory-to-sales ratio -- that the period of maximum weakness has likely passed. Although further declines in output are anticipated, the rate of decline should gradually diminish.
although both building clear improving inventory likely occurred orders provides recovering recovery related shipments staying support trend
There is a clear improving trend in orders which provides support for the recovering manufacturing sector, ... Although some of the inventory building that occurred was likely Y2K related and will be reversed in the new year, the acceleration of both shipments and backlogs suggests that the manufacturing recovery has substantial staying power.
accelerate buying demand housing likely mortgage motivated potential rates rising
The demand for new housing surged, likely because rising mortgage rates motivated some potential homebuyers to accelerate their buying decisions.
above although average last likely pace percent return settle
Although productivity is not likely to return to the supercharged pace of last year, it is likely to settle in comfortably above the 1.5 percent average pace during the 20 years before 1995.
again data despite easing ended growth likely period strength suggesting sway unlikely weaker
Despite the strength during the quarter, the period ended on a much weaker note, suggesting (second-quarter) growth is likely to be weaker. These data are unlikely to sway the (Fed) from easing again at (its) May 15th meeting.
activity coming decline generate housing huge increase likely mild next severe weather
Unseasonably mild weather in January, coming after unseasonably severe weather in December, generated a huge increase in housing starts. Moreover, February's weather is likely to generate a big decline in housing activity next month.
associated economic extended hiring layoffs likely pace rising tragic trends
The pace of layoffs is rising again, while new hiring has stopped. These trends will likely be extended because of the economic dislocations associated with this week's tragic events.
associated economic extended hiring layoffs likely pace rising tragic trends
The pace of layoffs is rising again, while new hiring has stopped, ... These trends will likely be extended because of the economic dislocations associated with this week's tragic events.
continue early employment likely next october payroll percent
Payroll employment for October will plunge sharply and unemployment will continue to rise, likely breaching 6 percent by early next year,
add building february inventory investment january likely modestly slightly stronger suggesting
Inventory building is slightly stronger in January and February than it was in 4Q, suggesting that inventory investment is likely to add modestly to Q1 GDP growth,
aircraft although civilian defense jump likely modest offer orders recovery worst
However, the jump in new orders was too narrowly concentrated in civilian aircraft and defense orders to offer much more than modest encouragement. Although the worst may be over for the manufacturing sector, any recovery is likely to be sluggish.