Steven Wood
Steven Wood
Steven Woodwas an Australian sprint canoeist and marathon canoeist who competed in the late 1980s and early 1990s. Competing in two Summer Olympics, he won a bronze medal in the K-4 1000 m event at Barcelona in 1992...
adjusting appear both claims continuing despite employment initial labor markets near october payroll remain storm strong weak
After adjusting for the storm effects, both initial and continuing claims appear to be near their pre-hurricane levels, indicating that labor markets remain strong despite the weak October payroll employment report.
consistent data employment gains payroll
These data are broadly consistent with payroll employment gains in the 200,000 to 250,000 (monthly) range.
broken employment growth historical level payroll relationship strong
The strong historical relationship between the level of the help-wanted index and the year-on-year growth of payroll employment has broken down completely.
associated claims continuing employment gains gradually labor levels markets payroll
New and continuing claims are at levels that historically have been associated with payroll employment gains of around 225,000. Labor markets are gradually improving.
committee continue employment federal interest labor markets open payroll raise rise strong
Labor markets are very strong and payroll employment should rise by 200,000 or more in February. The Federal Open Market Committee will continue to raise interest rates.
continue early employment likely next october payroll percent
Payroll employment for October will plunge sharply and unemployment will continue to rise, likely breaching 6 percent by early next year,
concern economic fed inflation low outlook tame uncertain
Inflation is sufficiently low and tame -- and the economic outlook is sufficiently uncertain -- to be of little concern to the Fed at present.
abroad coming conditions continued demand economies economy expanding fast fed given home increased inventory low pace production quite remains robust support sure view
Increased demand in expanding economies abroad and continued robust conditions at home support the production outlook, given the low inventory environment. The Fed is sure to view the economy as expanding at too fast a pace now that manufacturing is coming back and consumption remains quite strong.
activity economic flattened recovery suggesting
Economic activity flattened out at the end of the summer, suggesting that the nascent recovery may have already been aborted.
august below continues diminish economic extended fed growth increase rate report slower third welcome
The Fed will welcome this report as it suggests that slower economic growth will be extended into the third quarter. The probability of an August rate increase continues to diminish and is now below 50 percent.
continue economic focus policy
The (Fed) will continue to focus policy on reviving economic growth.
data economic extended further growth policy providing second slowing welcome
The (Fed policy makers) will welcome this data as providing further confirmation that the slowing of economic growth in Q2 (the second quarter) has been extended into Q3,
cannot easing pace slow stop
The (Fed) may slow the pace of easing but they cannot stop yet.
combined consumer early forecasts growth lower pace retail sales scope second slower spending vehicle
Importantly for the Fed, the pace of real consumer spending slowed in March, and combined with early forecasts for lower vehicle and retail sales for April, suggests there is some scope for slower growth in the second quarter,