Sherry Cooper
Sherry Cooper
Sherry S. Cooperis a Canadian-American economist. Cooper is currently Chief Economist for Dominion Lending Centres. She was Executive Vice-President and Chief Economist of BMO Financial Group, with responsibilities for economic forecasting and risk assessment. She comments regularly in the press on financial issues...
clearly results trend underlying
January's results were clearly exaggerated, but the underlying trend is still surprisingly healthy.
eventually hike last likely next rate remain unwind view work
We remain of the view that next week's rate hike will not be the Fed's last work this cycle. Indeed, they will likely eventually unwind all of last fall's crisis-induced easing.
early seeing
What we're seeing is reminiscent of the early 1990s -- a jobless recovery.
action begin businesses capability certainly company data dramatic face larger percent seen serious small taken taking
What little data I've seen suggests that only about 25 percent of businesses have taken deliberate, serious action. And certainly the larger corporations would be the ones that would begin the process. Let's face it, a small company probably would not have the capability of taking very dramatic action.
expansion history longest worry
Worry not, the longest expansion in American history still has legs.
certainly continued deep doubt economy expect growth longer question recession shadow slower
There is no longer a shadow of doubt that the U.S. economy is downshifting rapidly; the only question is how deep the slowdown goes, ... We do not expect to see recession in 2001, but we certainly expect to see significantly slower growth with continued moderating inflation.
affected along caused damage deployed direct drag fleeting impact katrina massive might money offset prove provide suggest ultimate
This will provide some offset to the drag caused by the hurricane's direct damage and flooding, which, along with the massive amounts of money being deployed in the affected area, suggest that the ultimate impact of Katrina on GDP might prove more fleeting than first thought.
economy figure heading momentum production solid underlying
This production figure emphasizes that the US economy had solid underlying momentum heading into month-end,
consumer despite equity evidence growing hanging market oil prices viewed
Overall, this can be viewed as more evidence that the consumer is hanging in well despite the run-up in oil prices and growing equity market volatility.
commodity hike prices rate scales tips
Right now, the acceleration in commodity prices tips the scales for a 16th and a 17th rate hike by the Fed.
assessment diminish dual following hikes inflation looking market meeting open passing rate recall risk
Recall the Fed's assessment following the (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting on Aug. 24, that the dual summertime rate hikes 'should markedly diminish the risk of inflation going forward,' ... This call is looking more tenuous with every passing day.
activity becoming beginning bite evident higher housing impact interest pushed rates result sign start weakness
It is becoming more evident that higher interest rates are beginning to take a bite out of the red-hot housing market, ... While today's housing start result exaggerated weakness in the sector, it is yet another sign that the impact of higher rates has pushed housing activity off its peak.
indeed proving
June's swoon is indeed proving to be temporary.
activity additional brings buildings gradually provide quarters starts support
Starts at year-end 2003 will provide additional support for GDP during the first two quarters of 2004 as construction activity gradually brings these buildings to completion.