Sherry Cooper
Sherry Cooper
Sherry S. Cooperis a Canadian-American economist. Cooper is currently Chief Economist for Dominion Lending Centres. She was Executive Vice-President and Chief Economist of BMO Financial Group, with responsibilities for economic forecasting and risk assessment. She comments regularly in the press on financial issues...
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Right now, it appears that the (Fed) believes that the odds are better than 50-50 that another 25 basis point rate hike will be warranted.
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October and November ... sales each registered substantial gains (excluding autos), pointing to a reasonable fourth-quarter consumer spending figure when all is said and done.
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The modest downtrend in order growth is pointing to some moderation in the months ahead,
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The inflation data does not take the Fed out of the picture. It does, however, remove the risk of the Fed having to tighten 50 basis points on June 30.
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I do believe there is still evidence that the economy is red hot, and I think the Federal Reserve will be monitoring the income numbers closely to decide whether to go 25 basis points or 50 at their upcoming policy meeting.
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The shift in the Fed chair will be seamless,
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Predicting the long-awaited U.S. economic slowdown can be a risky business,
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Birth rates would plunge and the average age of the population would increase significantly.
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U.S. consumers are feeling the benefits of higher incomes and are spending more to reflect their good moods, ... Buoyed by record confidence, income growth, and a super-tight jobs market, the consumer is showing no signs of slowing and should continue to propel the U.S. economy.
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When the 10-year yield got to 4.4 percent Tuesday, I said this was probably a short-term buying opportunity and that we would see some correction.
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While we would not get too excited, these data are just the right stuff to further trends already under way in financial markets. Whispers about Fed easing are sure to follow.
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June's swoon is indeed proving to be temporary.
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U.S. industrial activity is improving, but it can't be described as healthy just yet.
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Wages are still running a bit hot for comfort, the jobless rate is still quite low and the underlying trend in employment (especially full-time) remains strong.