Robert Brusca
Robert Brusca
bigger deficit forecast foreign growth lower oil prices reasons relatively seems trade weak
The trade deficit seems to only get bigger and never recede. The reasons are clear, oil prices are up, foreign growth is still relatively weak and US growth is strong. There is no reason to forecast a lower deficit.
against maybe reason suggesting
We have a lot of things suggesting that maybe things have improved, ... I don't see any reason to go against the numbers.
cheering consumer digging economists makers odd ourselves people policy reasons saving spending
I find it just odd for all these economists and policy makers to be cheering for all this consumer spending when we're just digging ourselves into a hole. With all the obligations we have ahead, to retirees and to ourselves, we have all the reasons in the world for people to be saving more and be controlling their spending.
markets radar reason recession stock talk
There is a reason for stock markets to be worried. But I don't think we need to talk about recession yet -- it's not on the radar screen.
across areas broad concerned core declines fed growth inflation percent prices reason spectrum
Inflation decelerated across a broad spectrum of core CPI areas -- about 40 percent of prices in the core showed declines in their year-over-year growth rate. That's a big proportion. The Fed is concerned and has a reason to be concerned.
growth seen strong
What's going on here is we've got a lot of growth. We've seen very, very strong consumption.
looking market seeing stock
The stock market is earnings-oriented. But if you're looking at earnings, you're not seeing anything improving.
bonds correct fed market takes
The sell-off in bonds is for real and is the correct reaction. The Fed will need confirmation to act. The bond market won't. It takes no prisoners.
bigger looking soft softer spot
The soft spot is looking to be bigger and softer all the time.
far fed housing mean woods
The rise, however, does not mean that housing is out of the woods -- far from it. The Fed is still hiking.
consumer disaster extra growth hurricane income period recent recovering spending true
During this recent period there may be some extra spending on the part of those recovering from hurricane disasters. But it is also true that comprehensive consumer spending has been outstripping income growth over this period,
chairman fed fire trial
Each Fed Chairman has to go through his own, on-the-job, trial by fire. There is no other way.
decline demand prices slack unless
Prices don't decline like this unless you've got a lot of slack demand conditions.
good growth job month private report sector thanks trends
Private sector job growth is still challenged. The report is not very good for the month alone, but the trends have actually improved, thanks to the revisions.