Rick Sherlund
Rick Sherlund
advertising estimates growth last pc potential reflect slower sluggish week
We trimmed estimates last week to reflect even more sluggish PC demand, the potential for slower server growth and slower on-line advertising for MSN,
cap combine company equal far ford general growth half market premier trading
Microsoft's market cap right now is $208 billion. If you were to combine Ford and General Motors market cap(s) . . . that would only equal half of (Microsoft's) market cap. Granted, (Microsoft) by far is the premier growth company in the world today. But again, it is trading at 60 times earnings,
figure growth rate trying
I think the Street's trying to figure out what is the long-term growth rate here,
believe below earlier encouraged flow good growth historic likely products raised relative safe shares stock valued
We are encouraged by this and have raised estimates, essentially back to earlier levels. While the stock is richly valued and the growth is still well below historic levels, we believe there is a good flow of upcoming new products and the shares are likely a relative safe harbor.
appear due earlier estimate evidence fast growing growth likely march november occurred offset pc quarter reducing revenue sluggish unit weakness
We are reducing our March quarter revenue estimate due to growing evidence that PC unit growth did not likely come up to our expectations. PC growth was very sluggish from November through February, and while it reaccelerated in March, it does not appear to have occurred fast enough to offset the weakness earlier in the quarter.
atrophy growth ibm increasing microsoft might pc platform risk robust wireless
There is an increasing risk that Microsoft might atrophy on the PC platform as IBM did on the mainframe platform, while robust growth shifts to hand-held and wireless devices,
august compelled cost cut estimates given growth numbers oracle rates
Oracle has an August quarter, so we are more compelled to cut estimates now. Siebel is September, so we could wait, but the numbers just look too optimistic. Given cost reductions, the EPS cut for Oracle is small, but the growth rates for Siebel are much faster, so EPS reductions more significant.
august compelled cost cut estimates given growth numbers oracle rates
Oracle has an August quarter, so we are more compelled to cut estimates now, ... Siebel is September, so we could wait, but the numbers just look too optimistic. Given cost reductions, the EPS cut for Oracle is small, but the growth rates for Siebel are much faster, so EPS reductions more significant.
advantage both calendar designed drive due expect features further generation half likely next office products release revenue second windows
We expect the release of Windows Vista and Office 12 to further drive revenue as both products are being designed to take advantage of collaborative features in the next generation of server products (SQL Server 2005, BizTalk Server 2006, and the 'Longhorn' or Vista Server likely due out in the second half of calendar 2007).
basis corporate december entirely estimates further pc point quarter results revising stock woods
The stock may not yet be entirely out of the woods if the December quarter results do not show some further re-acceleration in corporate PC demand, at which point there may be a better basis for revising estimates further,
continue good level month months news next stock three
The stock had been at about this level just a month ago, and I think this is going to continue to be a damper, at least for the next three months or so. The news doesn't look like it's going to be good for a while.
anecdotal believe capital capture catching coming data estimates falling knife magnitude results spending street year
Estimating results has been like catching a falling knife this year and we do not believe Street estimates yet capture the magnitude of capital spending constraints going into 2002, particularly considering anecdotal data coming out of Europe.
above evidence given pc quarter reduced results slowing
The results were above our estimates, which had been reduced during the quarter given evidence of slowing PC demand.
build stock year
As the year progresses, the stock will build its multiple.