Richard Cripps

Richard Cripps
balance corporate percent sheets strongest yield
And while you are waiting, you get a 3 percent yield and one of the strongest balance sheets in corporate America.
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Putting it in context, it wasn't a great display of bullishness one would assume.
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Probably in the short term we're a little ahead of ourselves. We don't have any earnings visibility and we won't until the fourth quarter.
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Either the fundamentals have to grow much faster or the stock has got to come down.
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Between October and March, the Nasdaq has almost doubled in price. Even these companies that have been cut in half are still three or four times more than they were a year ago.
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You get a kick in the market that draws in the buyers. I think we're in a trading range and are getting into the bottom half of that trading range.
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I would let this play out as opposed to trying to be brave and buying here.
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I think if you are bullish here, you go back and look to the last time the Fed eased up on interest rates which was 1995, which, of course, was a good year for investors. The S&P shot up almost 35 percent. So using that as a guide, some investor think that is what we're going to see.
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From a trading desk standpoint, you'd rather be long (own stocks) here than short, and that starts to build its own dynamic and attract its own level of interest. The market is oversold and selling pressure is easing.
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People want to own these (technology) stocks. And that's what limits any significant drop on these stocks and it's what puts pressure on the remainder of the market.
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Tradition drives these international markets very, very hard. The concept is interesting, but inevitably, they will find it as difficult, if not more difficult than Europe.
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We have good optimism out there and that's always the time to think about what dark clouds are out there.
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We're looking at a 12 percent decline in earnings this year for the S&P 500, and that's the sharpest decline we've had since the last recession. The confidence level that one has in looking at those earnings is very low.
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The question today is more opportunistic. The question is exactly where can I be a buyer of America Online ( AOL ) or some of these other stocks that have been weakened?