Oscar Gonzalez
Oscar Gonzalez
along begin business consumers continue economy falter few fuel gear higher later next shift spending sustain worry
Consumers will continue to spend, and that will keep the economy chugging along for the next few months. But without some help, I worry that consumers could begin to falter later in the year. We need more business spending to fuel the economy's shift into a higher gear and sustain the recovery.
biggest blow consumers crushing decline employment factor growth job october report rise sharp shows single
If, as expected, the October employment report shows a sharp rise in unemployment and a sharp decline in job growth, it could be a crushing blow to confidence. Having a job is probably the single biggest factor in consumers having confidence.
against confidence consumer decrease downside improvement improving including increase jobs protection slump solid spending suggest sustained
While improving consumer confidence probably suggests downside protection against a slump in spending, it does not suggest we will see spending take off. We still need a sustained improvement in the jobs market, including a significant decrease in unemployment with a solid increase in real wages.
brink confidence consumer great possibly surprise
We are possibly on the brink of war, so it would have been a great surprise if consumer confidence hadn't fallen.
consumers deter ease fears fed market rates report several showing signs tame
The report isn't so tame as to deter the Fed from bumping rates another notch, especially with Y2K fears dissipating and consumers showing no signs of fatigue. However, it should ease market fears that the Fed will need to tighten several more times.
act both business confidence consumer deeper fed further greenspan rate remains sooner street timing wall
I think the Fed will act aggressively. The timing remains to be seen, but both Main Street and Wall Street are pleading for further rate cuts, so I think Greenspan will respond. The sooner and deeper a rate cut, the sooner consumer and business confidence should improve.
aggressive along becomes clearer consumers fed investors longer
The longer we go along this path, the clearer it becomes that the Fed may have to jolt consumers and investors with a more aggressive policy,
energy prices rising stopped worst
Energy prices stopped rising in July, and so did the PPI. So the worst may be over.
energy prices rising stopped worst
Energy prices stopped rising in July, and so did the PPI, ... So the worst may be over.
alert fed future high numbers though
Even though the numbers are soothing, the Fed still is on high alert for a future flare-up in prices,
easing fed leave policies possibly recent reverse slowing start tight trend wanting
Continuation of a slowing trend is likely, and it could put the Fed in a pretty tight spot, because it could leave it wanting to possibly reverse its recent policies and start easing rates.
albeit continued drowning economy january kept leading
Consumers, who have kept the economy from drowning during this recession, continued to spend, albeit cautiously, in January and may be leading the way to recovery.
anytime canyon expectation gap reasonable trade
The trade gap is a canyon and I see no reasonable expectation of it narrowing anytime soon.
building dismiss figures growing pace pressures prices prove remains risks sudden trend
The trend is now clear. Inflationary pressures are building and prices are rising; only the pace remains at issue. September's figures may prove to be just a spike, but we can't dismiss the growing risks of a sudden acceleration in inflation.